Discounted Cash Flow

Five Point Holdings, LLC LP

FPH · Based on 10 years of SEC filings

DCF estimate unavailable — erratic_earnings_6_sign_flips

Average annual growth rates

Metric 10-Year 5-Year 3-Year
Sales
Free Cash Flow
Average (FCF & NI)
Net Income

Average annual growth is the mean year-over-year change across each period.

Endpoint CAGR (better for long term trend)

Metric 10-Year 5-Year 3-Year
Sales
Free Cash Flow
Average (FCF & NI)
Net Income

Endpoint CAGR is the compound annual rate from the first to last year in each period.

Projections use average year-over-year growth. Change this in Settings.

Projected growth rate

Free cash flow growth
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —
Averaged growth (FCF & NI)
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —
Net income growth
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —
Sales growth (not added to calculations)
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —

Click a greyed-out slider to switch metrics. Slide between the 10-year, 5-year, and 3-year historic growth rates for FCF, net income, or their average.

%
%

Historical inputs (10 fiscal years)

YEAR Sales Net Income Free Cash Flow Net Margin EPS (diluted)
2017 $139.4m $73.2m $-58.1m 52.5% $0.45
2018 $49.0m (-64.9%) $-34.7m (-147.4%) $-346.4m (-495.8%) -70.9% (-234.9%) $-1.05 (-333.3%)
2019 $184.4m (276.4%) $9.0m (126.0%) $9.0m (102.6%) 4.9% (106.9%) $0.34 (132.2%)
2020 $153.6m (-16.7%) $-428.0k (-104.7%) $-80.6m (-992.8%) -0.3% (-105.7%) $0.02 (-95.1%)
2021 $224.4m (46.1%) $6.6m (1634.6%) $6.6m (108.1%) 2.9% (1150.6%) $0.09 (453.6%)
2022 $42.7m (-81.0%) $-15.4m (-334.5%) $-15.4m (-334.5%) -36.1% (-1332.6%) $-0.24 (-359.4%)
2023 $211.7m (395.9%) $55.4m (459.6%) $154.1m (1100.5%) 26.2% (172.5%) $0.77 (426.1%)
2024 $237.9m (12.4%) $68.3m (23.3%) $115.2m (-25.3%) 28.7% (9.7%) $1.20 (55.8%)
2025 $110.0m (-53.8%) $71.0m (3.9%) $105.0m (-8.8%) 64.5% (124.7%) $1.24 (3.3%)

Base FCF: (latest fiscal year)

Discount rate: %

Terminal growth:

Projection period: years

Alt A decline yrs:

Alt B total yrs:

Projected cash flows

Year Projected cash flow Discount Factor Present Value

PV of projected FCF:

Terminal FCF:

Terminal value:

PV of terminal value:

Enterprise value (DCF):

DCF price per share:

Current price:

Alternative DCF Models

Model Fair Value Upside PV(FCFs) PV(Terminal) Total Years
Standard (10yr→TV) 10 + TV
Alt A (Gradual Decline)
Alt B (30yr Hard Stop) N/A

This is a simplified DCF model for illustration. It uses reported free cash flow, a single growth assumption, fixed WACC, and a Gordon Growth terminal value. It is not investment advice.

+ 10YR Financials Balance Sheet (10YR) Cash Flow (10YR) DCF Model

erratic_earnings_6_sign_flips

Once the company meets all DCF eligibility criteria (sufficient history, profitability, growth trends), an estimate will become available automatically. No action is needed.