Discounted Cash Flow
Friedman Industries Inc.
—
—
Average annual growth rates
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Endpoint CAGR (better for long term trend)
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Projected growth rate
—
—
%
%
Historical inputs (10 fiscal years)
| YEAR | Sales | Net Income | Free Cash Flow | Net Margin | EPS (diluted) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2017 | $77.8m | $-2.7m | $-1.0m | -3.4% | $-0.39 |
| 2018 | $121.2m (55.8%) | $2.8m (203.0%) | $2.9m (389.0%) | 2.3% (166.1%) | $0.39 (200.0%) |
| 2019 | $187.2m (54.5%) | $5.1m (84.8%) | $8.8m (204.7%) | 2.7% (19.6%) | $0.73 (87.2%) |
| 2020 | $142.1m (-24.1%) | $-5.2m (-202.9%) | $6.3m (-28.6%) | -3.7% (-235.6%) | $-0.75 (-202.7%) |
| 2021 | $126.1m (-11.3%) | $11.4m (317.6%) | $3.8m (-39.4%) | 9.1% (345.3%) | $1.63 (317.3%) |
| 2022 | $285.2m (126.2%) | $14.1m (23.1%) | $-21.5m (-662.2%) | 4.9% (-45.6%) | $2.04 (25.2%) |
| 2023 | $547.5m (92.0%) | $21.3m (51.7%) | $47.4m (321.0%) | 3.9% (-21.0%) | $2.91 (42.6%) |
| 2024 | $516.3m (-5.7%) | $17.3m (-18.7%) | $-813.0k (-101.7%) | 3.4% (-13.8%) | $2.39 (-17.9%) |
| 2025 | $444.6m (-13.9%) | $6.1m (-64.9%) | $-8.4m (-934.7%) | 1.4% (-59.3%) | $0.87 (-63.6%) |
| 2026 | $646.9m (45.5%) | $19.5m (221.0%) | $1.4m (116.4%) | 3.0% (120.6%) | $2.76 (217.2%) |
Base FCF: — (latest fiscal year)
Discount rate: % —
Terminal growth: —
Projection period: — years
Alt A decline yrs:
Alt B total yrs:
Projected cash flows
| Year | Projected cash flow | Discount Factor | Present Value |
|---|
PV of projected FCF: —
Terminal FCF: —
Terminal value: —
PV of terminal value: —
Enterprise value (DCF): —
Current price: —
—Alternative DCF Models
| Model | Fair Value | Upside | PV(FCFs) | PV(Terminal) | Total Years |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Standard (10yr→TV) | — | — | — | — | 10 + TV |
| Alt A (Gradual Decline) | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alt B (30yr Hard Stop) | — | — | — | N/A | — |
This is a simplified DCF model for illustration. It uses reported free cash flow, a single growth assumption, fixed WACC, and a Gordon Growth terminal value. It is not investment advice.