Discounted Cash Flow

First Merchants Corp.

FRME · Based on 10 years of SEC filings

Average annual growth rates

Metric 10-Year 5-Year 3-Year
Sales
Free Cash Flow
Average (FCF & NI)
Net Income

Average annual growth is the mean year-over-year change across each period.

Endpoint CAGR (better for long term trend)

Metric 10-Year 5-Year 3-Year
Sales
Free Cash Flow
Average (FCF & NI)
Net Income

Endpoint CAGR is the compound annual rate from the first to last year in each period.

Projections use average year-over-year growth. Change this in Settings.

Projected growth rate

Free cash flow growth
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —
Averaged growth (FCF & NI)
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —
Net income growth
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —
Sales growth (not added to calculations)
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —

Click a greyed-out slider to switch metrics. Slide between the 10-year, 5-year, and 3-year historic growth rates for FCF, net income, or their average.

%
%

Historical inputs (10 fiscal years)

YEAR Sales Net Income Free Cash Flow Net Margin EPS (diluted)
2016 $81.1m $106.9m $1.99
2017 $96.1m (18.5%) $126.5m (18.4%) $2.13 (7.0%)
2018 $159.1m (65.6%) $180.2m (42.5%) $3.23 (51.6%)
2019 $164.5m (3.3%) $178.4m (-1.0%) $3.20 (-0.9%)
2020 $148.6m (-9.6%) $204.8m (14.8%) $2.75 (-14.1%)
2021 $205.5m (38.3%) $207.4m (1.3%) $3.82 (38.9%)
2022 $222.1m (8.1%) $284.3m (37.1%) $3.83 (0.3%)
2023 $223.8m (0.8%) $258.8m (-9.0%) $3.74 (-2.3%)
2024 $201.4m (-10.0%) $266.2m (2.9%) $3.42 (-8.6%)
2025 $226.0m (12.2%) $283.6m (6.5%) $3.90 (14.0%)

Base FCF: (latest fiscal year)

Discount rate: %

Terminal growth:

Projection period: years

Alt A decline yrs:

Alt B total yrs:

Projected cash flows

Year Projected cash flow Discount Factor Present Value

PV of projected FCF:

Terminal FCF:

Terminal value:

PV of terminal value:

Enterprise value (DCF):

DCF price per share:

Current price:

Alternative DCF Models

Model Fair Value Upside PV(FCFs) PV(Terminal) Total Years
Standard (10yr→TV) 10 + TV
Alt A (Gradual Decline)
Alt B (30yr Hard Stop) N/A

This is a simplified DCF model for illustration. It uses reported free cash flow, a single growth assumption, fixed WACC, and a Gordon Growth terminal value. It is not investment advice.

+ 10YR Financials Balance Sheet (10YR) Cash Flow (10YR) DCF Model