Discounted Cash Flow
Freshpet, Inc.
—
—
Average annual growth rates
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Endpoint CAGR (better for long term trend)
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Projected growth rate
—
—
%
%
Historical inputs (10 fiscal years)
| YEAR | Sales | Net Income | Free Cash Flow | Net Margin | EPS (diluted) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 | $133.1m | $-3.2m | $12.8m | -2.4% | $-0.09 |
| 2017 | $156.4m (17.5%) | $-4.3m (-34.9%) | $10.3m (-19.8%) | -2.7% (-14.7%) | $-0.12 (-33.3%) |
| 2018 | $193.2m (23.6%) | $-5.4m (-25.8%) | $18.6m (80.9%) | -2.8% (-1.8%) | $-0.15 (-25.0%) |
| 2019 | $245.9m (27.2%) | $-1.4m (74.2%) | $16.3m (-12.2%) | -0.6% (79.7%) | $-0.04 (73.3%) |
| 2020 | $318.8m (29.7%) | $-3.2m (-130.6%) | $21.2m (29.9%) | -1.0% (-77.8%) | $-0.08 (-100.0%) |
| 2021 | $425.5m (33.5%) | $-29.7m (-831.6%) | $647.0k (-96.9%) | -7.0% (-598.0%) | $-0.69 (-762.5%) |
| 2022 | $595.3m (39.9%) | $-59.5m (-100.3%) | $-273.3m (-42340.8%) | -10.0% (-43.2%) | $-1.29 (-87.0%) |
| 2023 | $766.9m (28.8%) | $-33.6m (43.5%) | $-163.2m (40.3%) | -4.4% (56.1%) | $-0.70 (45.7%) |
| 2024 | $975.2m (27.2%) | $46.9m (239.6%) | $-32.8m (79.9%) | 4.8% (209.8%) | $0.97 (238.6%) |
| 2025 | $1.1b (13.0%) | $139.1m (196.5%) | $12.4m (137.7%) | 12.6% (162.4%) | $2.85 (193.8%) |
Base FCF: — (latest fiscal year)
Discount rate: % —
Terminal growth: —
Projection period: — years
Alt A decline yrs:
Alt B total yrs:
Projected cash flows
| Year | Projected cash flow | Discount Factor | Present Value |
|---|
PV of projected FCF: —
Terminal FCF: —
Terminal value: —
PV of terminal value: —
Enterprise value (DCF): —
Current price: —
—Alternative DCF Models
| Model | Fair Value | Upside | PV(FCFs) | PV(Terminal) | Total Years |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Standard (10yr→TV) | — | — | — | — | 10 + TV |
| Alt A (Gradual Decline) | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alt B (30yr Hard Stop) | — | — | — | N/A | — |
This is a simplified DCF model for illustration. It uses reported free cash flow, a single growth assumption, fixed WACC, and a Gordon Growth terminal value. It is not investment advice.