Discounted Cash Flow

Five Star Bancorp

FSBC · Based on 10 years of SEC filings

Average annual growth rates

Metric 10-Year 5-Year 3-Year
Sales
Free Cash Flow
Average (FCF & NI)
Net Income

Average annual growth is the mean year-over-year change across each period.

Endpoint CAGR (better for long term trend)

Metric 10-Year 5-Year 3-Year
Sales
Free Cash Flow
Average (FCF & NI)
Net Income

Endpoint CAGR is the compound annual rate from the first to last year in each period.

Projections use average year-over-year growth. Change this in Settings.

Projected growth rate

Free cash flow growth
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —
Averaged growth (FCF & NI)
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —
Net income growth
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —
Sales growth (not added to calculations)
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —

Click a greyed-out slider to switch metrics. Slide between the 10-year, 5-year, and 3-year historic growth rates for FCF, net income, or their average.

%
%

Historical inputs (10 fiscal years)

YEAR Sales Net Income Free Cash Flow Net Margin EPS (diluted)
2020 $65.2m $35.9m $51.5m 55.1% $3.57
2021 $77.6m (19.0%) $42.4m (18.1%) $28.7m (-44.3%) 54.7% (-0.7%) $2.83 (-20.7%)
2022 $103.1m (32.8%) $44.8m (5.6%) $46.0m (60.4%) 43.5% (-20.5%) $2.61 (-7.8%)
2023 $110.9m (7.6%) $47.7m (6.5%) $38.9m (-15.4%) 43.1% (-1.0%) $2.78 (6.5%)
2024 $119.7m (8.0%) $45.7m (-4.3%) $51.8m (33.1%) 38.2% (-11.4%) $2.26 (-18.7%)
2025 $151.9m (26.9%) $61.6m (34.9%) $72.6m (40.2%) 40.6% (6.3%) $2.90 (28.3%)

Base FCF: (latest fiscal year)

Discount rate: %

Terminal growth:

Projection period: years

Alt A decline yrs:

Alt B total yrs:

Projected cash flows

Year Projected cash flow Discount Factor Present Value

PV of projected FCF:

Terminal FCF:

Terminal value:

PV of terminal value:

Enterprise value (DCF):

DCF price per share:

Current price:

Alternative DCF Models

Model Fair Value Upside PV(FCFs) PV(Terminal) Total Years
Standard (10yr→TV) 10 + TV
Alt A (Gradual Decline)
Alt B (30yr Hard Stop) N/A

This is a simplified DCF model for illustration. It uses reported free cash flow, a single growth assumption, fixed WACC, and a Gordon Growth terminal value. It is not investment advice.

+ 10YR Financials Balance Sheet (10YR) Cash Flow (10YR) DCF Model