Discounted Cash Flow
Federal Signal Corp. /De/
—
—
Average annual growth rates
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Endpoint CAGR (better for long term trend)
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Projected growth rate
—
—
%
%
Historical inputs (10 fiscal years)
| YEAR | Sales | Net Income | Free Cash Flow | Net Margin | EPS (diluted) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 | $707.9m | $43.8m | $18.6m | 6.2% | $0.72 |
| 2017 | $898.5m (26.9%) | $61.6m (40.6%) | $64.8m (248.4%) | 6.9% (10.8%) | $1.03 (43.1%) |
| 2018 | $1.1b (21.3%) | $94.0m (52.6%) | $78.7m (21.5%) | 8.6% (25.8%) | $1.57 (52.4%) |
| 2019 | $1.2b (12.1%) | $108.5m (15.4%) | $67.7m (-14.0%) | 8.9% (3.0%) | $1.80 (14.6%) |
| 2020 | $1.1b (-7.4%) | $96.2m (-11.3%) | $106.5m (57.3%) | 8.5% (-4.2%) | $1.59 (-11.7%) |
| 2021 | $1.2b (7.3%) | $100.6m (4.6%) | $64.4m (-39.5%) | 8.3% (-2.5%) | $1.65 (3.8%) |
| 2022 | $1.4b (18.3%) | $120.4m (19.7%) | $18.8m (-70.8%) | 8.4% (1.2%) | $1.99 (20.6%) |
| 2023 | $1.7b (20.1%) | $157.4m (30.7%) | $164.1m (772.9%) | 9.1% (8.9%) | $2.59 (30.2%) |
| 2024 | $1.9b (8.1%) | $216.3m (37.4%) | $190.7m (16.2%) | 11.6% (27.2%) | $3.55 (37.1%) |
| 2025 | $2.2b (17.1%) | $246.6m (14.0%) | $227.1m (19.1%) | 11.3% (-2.7%) | $4.06 (14.4%) |
Base FCF: — (latest fiscal year)
Discount rate: % —
Terminal growth: —
Projection period: — years
Alt A decline yrs:
Alt B total yrs:
Projected cash flows
| Year | Projected cash flow | Discount Factor | Present Value |
|---|
PV of projected FCF: —
Terminal FCF: —
Terminal value: —
PV of terminal value: —
Enterprise value (DCF): —
Current price: —
—Alternative DCF Models
| Model | Fair Value | Upside | PV(FCFs) | PV(Terminal) | Total Years |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Standard (10yr→TV) | — | — | — | — | 10 + TV |
| Alt A (Gradual Decline) | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alt B (30yr Hard Stop) | — | — | — | N/A | — |
This is a simplified DCF model for illustration. It uses reported free cash flow, a single growth assumption, fixed WACC, and a Gordon Growth terminal value. It is not investment advice.