Discounted Cash Flow

Ftai Aviation Ltd.

FTAI · Based on 10 years of SEC filings

Average annual growth rates

Metric 10-Year 5-Year 3-Year
Sales
Free Cash Flow
Average (FCF & NI)
Net Income

Average annual growth is the mean year-over-year change across each period.

Endpoint CAGR (better for long term trend)

Metric 10-Year 5-Year 3-Year
Sales
Free Cash Flow
Average (FCF & NI)
Net Income

Endpoint CAGR is the compound annual rate from the first to last year in each period.

Projections use average year-over-year growth. Change this in Settings.

Projected growth rate

Free cash flow growth
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —
Averaged growth (FCF & NI)
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —
Net income growth
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —
Sales growth (not added to calculations)
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —

Click a greyed-out slider to switch metrics. Slide between the 10-year, 5-year, and 3-year historic growth rates for FCF, net income, or their average.

%
%

Historical inputs (10 fiscal years)

YEAR Sales Net Income Free Cash Flow Net Margin EPS (diluted)
2016 $148.7m $-20.1m $-26.5m -13.5% $-0.22
2017 $217.7m (46.4%) $134.0k (100.7%) $-47.5m (-79.6%) 0.1% (100.5%) $0.00 (100.0%)
2018 $379.9m (74.5%) $5.9m (4289.6%) $5.9m (112.4%) 1.5% (2415.1%) $0.06
2019 $578.8m (52.4%) $223.3m (3695.8%) $-180.1m (-3162.4%) 38.6% (2391.4%)
2020 $366.5m (-36.7%) $-105.0m (-147.0%) $-201.7m (-12.0%) -28.7% (-174.3%)
2021 $455.8m (24.4%) $-130.7m (-24.4%) $-179.4m (11.1%) -28.7% (-0.1%)
2022 $708.4m (55.4%) $-212.0m (-62.2%) $-164.9m (8.1%) -29.9% (-4.4%)
2023 $1.2b (65.3%) $243.8m (215.0%) $122.8m (174.5%) 20.8% (169.6%) $2.12
2024 $1.7b (48.2%) $8.7m (-96.4%) $-197.2m (-260.5%) 0.5% (-97.6%) $-0.32 (-115.1%)
2025 $2.5b (44.5%) $501.1m (5671.3%) $-338.5m (-71.7%) 20.0% (3893.2%) $4.66 (1556.3%)

Base FCF: (latest fiscal year)

Discount rate: %

Terminal growth:

Projection period: years

Alt A decline yrs:

Alt B total yrs:

Projected cash flows

Year Projected cash flow Discount Factor Present Value

PV of projected FCF:

Terminal FCF:

Terminal value:

PV of terminal value:

Enterprise value (DCF):

DCF price per share:

Current price:

Alternative DCF Models

Model Fair Value Upside PV(FCFs) PV(Terminal) Total Years
Standard (10yr→TV) 10 + TV
Alt A (Gradual Decline)
Alt B (30yr Hard Stop) N/A

This is a simplified DCF model for illustration. It uses reported free cash flow, a single growth assumption, fixed WACC, and a Gordon Growth terminal value. It is not investment advice.

+ 10YR Financials Balance Sheet (10YR) Cash Flow (10YR) DCF Model