Discounted Cash Flow

Fortinet, Inc.

FTNT · Based on 10 years of SEC filings

Average annual growth rates

Metric 10-Year 5-Year 3-Year
Sales
Free Cash Flow
Average (FCF & NI)
Net Income

Average annual growth is the mean year-over-year change across each period.

Endpoint CAGR (better for long term trend)

Metric 10-Year 5-Year 3-Year
Sales
Free Cash Flow
Average (FCF & NI)
Net Income

Endpoint CAGR is the compound annual rate from the first to last year in each period.

Projections use average year-over-year growth. Change this in Settings.

Projected growth rate

Free cash flow growth
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —
Averaged growth (FCF & NI)
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —
Net income growth
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —
Sales growth (not added to calculations)
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —

Click a greyed-out slider to switch metrics. Slide between the 10-year, 5-year, and 3-year historic growth rates for FCF, net income, or their average.

%
%

Historical inputs (10 fiscal years)

YEAR Sales Net Income Free Cash Flow Net Margin EPS (diluted)
2016 $1.3b $32.2m $-127.9m 2.5% $0.19
2017 $1.5b (17.2%) $31.4m (-2.4%) $-74.8m (41.5%) 2.1% (-16.8%) $0.18 (-5.3%)
2018 $1.8b (20.5%) $332.2m (958.0%) $-42.9m (42.6%) 18.4% (778.1%) $1.96 (988.9%)
2019 $2.2b (19.7%) $326.5m (-1.7%) $-524.3m (-1122.1%) 15.1% (-17.9%) $1.91 (-2.6%)
2020 $2.6b (20.3%) $488.5m (49.6%) $4.7m (100.9%) 18.8% (24.3%) $2.98 (56.0%)
2021 $3.3b (28.8%) $606.8m (24.2%) $1.5b (31808.5%) 18.2% (-3.6%) $3.72 (24.8%)
2022 $4.4b (32.2%) $857.3m (41.3%) $1.4b (-3.4%) 19.4% (6.9%) $1.08 (-71.0%)
2023 $5.3b (20.1%) $1.1b (33.9%) $1.7b (19.5%) 21.6% (11.5%) $1.47 (36.1%)
2024 $6.0b (12.3%) $1.7b (52.0%) $1.9b (8.5%) 29.3% (35.4%) $2.28 (55.1%)
2025 $6.8b (14.2%) $1.9b (6.2%) $2.2b (18.4%) 27.3% (-7.0%) $2.45 (7.5%)

Base FCF: (latest fiscal year)

Discount rate: %

Terminal growth:

Projection period: years

Alt A decline yrs:

Alt B total yrs:

Values abbreviated: b = billions, m = millions, k = thousands.

Projected cash flows

Year Projected cash flow Discount Factor Present Value

PV of projected FCF:

Terminal FCF:

Terminal value:

PV of terminal value:

Enterprise value (DCF):

DCF price per share:

Current price:

Alternative DCF Models

Model Fair Value Upside PV(FCFs) PV(Terminal) Total Years
Standard (10yr→TV) 10 + TV
Alt A (Gradual Decline)
Alt B (30yr Hard Stop) N/A

This is a simplified DCF model for illustration. It uses reported free cash flow, a single growth assumption, fixed WACC, and a Gordon Growth terminal value. It is not investment advice.

+ 10YR Financials Balance Sheet (10YR) Cash Flow (10YR) DCF Model