Discounted Cash Flow

Gatx Corp.

GATX · Based on 10 years of SEC filings

Average annual growth rates

Metric 10-Year 5-Year 3-Year
Sales
Free Cash Flow
Average (FCF & NI)
Net Income

Average annual growth is the mean year-over-year change across each period.

Endpoint CAGR (better for long term trend)

Metric 10-Year 5-Year 3-Year
Sales
Free Cash Flow
Average (FCF & NI)
Net Income

Endpoint CAGR is the compound annual rate from the first to last year in each period.

Projections use average year-over-year growth. Change this in Settings.

Projected growth rate

Free cash flow growth
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —
Averaged growth (FCF & NI)
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —
Net income growth
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —
Sales growth (not added to calculations)
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —

Click a greyed-out slider to switch metrics. Slide between the 10-year, 5-year, and 3-year historic growth rates for FCF, net income, or their average.

%
%

Historical inputs (10 fiscal years)

YEAR Sales Net Income Free Cash Flow Net Margin EPS (diluted)
2016 $1.4b $257.1m $30.4m 18.1% $6.35
2017 $1.4b (-2.9%) $502.0m (95.3%) $-70.0m (-330.3%) 36.5% (101.1%) $12.95 (103.9%)
2018 $1.4b (-1.2%) $211.3m (-57.9%) $-420.8m (-501.1%) 15.5% (-57.4%) $5.62 (-56.6%)
2019 $1.4b (2.4%) $211.2m (-0.0%) $-279.1m (33.7%) 15.2% (-2.4%) $5.92 (5.3%)
2020 $1.2b (-13.2%) $151.3m (-28.4%) $-869.3m (-211.5%) 12.5% (-17.4%) $4.33 (-26.9%)
2021 $1.3b (4.0%) $143.1m (-5.4%) $-1.1b (-30.0%) 11.4% (-9.0%) $4.04 (-6.7%)
2022 $1.3b (1.2%) $155.9m (8.9%) $-1.3b (-11.1%) 12.2% (7.6%) $4.41 (9.2%)
2023 $1.4b (10.8%) $259.2m (66.3%) $-1.1b (8.9%) 18.4% (50.0%) $7.13 (61.7%)
2024 $1.6b (12.4%) $284.2m (9.6%) $602.1m (152.6%) 17.9% (-2.4%) $7.80 (9.4%)
2025 $1.7b (9.8%) $333.3m (17.3%) $633.1m (5.1%) 19.2% (6.8%) $9.14 (17.2%)

Base FCF: (latest fiscal year)

Discount rate: %

Terminal growth:

Projection period: years

Alt A decline yrs:

Alt B total yrs:

Values abbreviated: b = billions, m = millions, k = thousands.

Projected cash flows

Year Projected cash flow Discount Factor Present Value

PV of projected FCF:

Terminal FCF:

Terminal value:

PV of terminal value:

Enterprise value (DCF):

DCF price per share:

Current price:

Alternative DCF Models

Model Fair Value Upside PV(FCFs) PV(Terminal) Total Years
Standard (10yr→TV) 10 + TV
Alt A (Gradual Decline)
Alt B (30yr Hard Stop) N/A

This is a simplified DCF model for illustration. It uses reported free cash flow, a single growth assumption, fixed WACC, and a Gordon Growth terminal value. It is not investment advice.

+ 10YR Financials Balance Sheet (10YR) Cash Flow (10YR) DCF Model