Discounted Cash Flow
Greenbrier Companies Inc.
—
—
Average annual growth rates
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Endpoint CAGR (better for long term trend)
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Projected growth rate
—
—
%
%
Historical inputs (10 fiscal years)
| YEAR | Sales | Net Income | Free Cash Flow | Net Margin | EPS (diluted) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 | $2.7b | $183.2m | $192.7m | 6.8% | $6.28 |
| 2017 | $2.2b (-19.0%) | $116.1m (-36.6%) | $194.3m (0.9%) | 5.4% (-21.7%) | $3.97 (-36.8%) |
| 2018 | $2.5b (16.1%) | $151.8m (30.8%) | $-73.5m (-137.8%) | 6.0% (12.6%) | $4.92 (23.9%) |
| 2019 | $3.0b (20.4%) | $71.1m (-53.2%) | $-219.5m (-198.6%) | 2.3% (-61.1%) | $2.18 (-55.7%) |
| 2020 | $2.8b (-8.0%) | $49.0m (-31.1%) | $205.4m (193.6%) | 1.8% (-25.1%) | $1.50 (-31.2%) |
| 2021 | $1.7b (-37.4%) | $32.5m (-33.7%) | $-179.5m (-187.4%) | 1.9% (5.9%) | $0.99 (-34.0%) |
| 2022 | $3.0b (70.4%) | $46.9m (44.4%) | $46.9m (126.1%) | 1.6% (-15.2%) | $1.44 (45.5%) |
| 2023 | $3.9b (32.5%) | $62.5m (33.3%) | $-290.9m (-720.3%) | 1.6% (0.6%) | $1.95 (35.4%) |
| 2024 | $3.5b (-10.1%) | $160.1m (156.2%) | $-68.7m (76.4%) | 4.5% (185.0%) | $5.15 (164.1%) |
| 2025 | $3.2b (-8.6%) | $204.1m (27.5%) | $-14.7m (78.6%) | 6.3% (39.5%) | $6.55 (27.2%) |
Base FCF: — (latest fiscal year)
Discount rate: % —
Terminal growth: —
Projection period: — years
Alt A decline yrs:
Alt B total yrs:
Projected cash flows
| Year | Projected cash flow | Discount Factor | Present Value |
|---|
PV of projected FCF: —
Terminal FCF: —
Terminal value: —
PV of terminal value: —
Enterprise value (DCF): —
Current price: —
—Alternative DCF Models
| Model | Fair Value | Upside | PV(FCFs) | PV(Terminal) | Total Years |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Standard (10yr→TV) | — | — | — | — | 10 + TV |
| Alt A (Gradual Decline) | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alt B (30yr Hard Stop) | — | — | — | N/A | — |
This is a simplified DCF model for illustration. It uses reported free cash flow, a single growth assumption, fixed WACC, and a Gordon Growth terminal value. It is not investment advice.