Discounted Cash Flow

GDS Holdings Ltd. ADR

GDS · Based on 10 years of SEC filings · Converted from CNY to USD

DCF estimate unavailable — No positive free cash flow in recent history — company has not generated positive FCF

Average annual growth rates

Metric 10-Year 5-Year 3-Year
Sales
Free Cash Flow
Average (FCF & NI)
Net Income
Dividends

Average annual growth is the mean year-over-year change across each period.

Endpoint CAGR (better for long term trend)

Metric 10-Year 5-Year 3-Year
Sales
Free Cash Flow
Average (FCF & NI)
Net Income

Endpoint CAGR is the compound annual rate from the first to last year in each period.

Projections use average year-over-year growth. Change this in Settings.

Projected growth rate

Free cash flow growth
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —
Averaged growth (FCF & NI)
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —
Net income growth
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —
Sales growth (not added to calculations)
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —

Click a greyed-out slider to switch metrics. Slide between the 10-year, 5-year, and 3-year historic growth rates for FCF, net income, or their average.

%
%

Historical inputs (10 fiscal years)

YEAR Sales Net Income Free Cash Flow Net Margin EPS (diluted)
2016 $1.1b $-41.0m $-169.0m -3.9%
2017 $1.6b (53.1%) $-48.5m (-18.3%) $-281.3m (-66.5%) -3.0% (22.7%)
2018 $2.8b (72.8%) $-63.9m (-31.6%) $-634.5m (-125.6%) -2.3% (23.8%)
2019 $4.1b (47.6%) $-65.6m (-2.7%) $-633.1m (0.2%) -1.6% (30.4%)
2020 $5.7b (39.2%) $-98.9m (-50.7%) $-98.9m (84.4%) -1.7% (-8.3%)
2021 $7.8b (36.2%) $-176.3m (-78.2%) $-1.3b (-1175.4%) -2.3% (-30.8%) $-0.90
2022 $9.3b (19.3%) $-188.4m (-6.9%) $-740.7m (41.3%) -2.0% (10.4%) $-1.03 (-14.4%)
2023 $10.0b (6.8%) $-636.9m (-238.1%) $-587.4m (20.7%) -6.4% (-216.7%) $-2.96 (-187.4%)
2024 $10.3b (3.7%) $508.6m (179.8%) $-182.8m (68.9%) 4.9% (177.0%) $2.27 (176.7%)
2025 $11.4b (10.8%) $141.0m (-72.3%) $-196.9m (-7.7%) 1.2% (-75.0%) $0.59 (-74.0%)

Base FCF: (latest fiscal year)

Discount rate: %

Terminal growth:

Projection period: years

Alt A decline yrs:

Alt B total yrs:

SEC filings report in CNY. Values above are converted to USD for comparison with the US-listed share price.

Values abbreviated: b = billions, m = millions, k = thousands.

Projected cash flows

Year Projected cash flow Discount Factor Present Value

PV of projected FCF:

Terminal FCF:

Terminal value:

PV of terminal value:

Enterprise value (DCF):

DCF price per share:

Current price:

Alternative DCF Models

Model Fair Value Upside PV(FCFs) PV(Terminal) Total Years
Standard (10yr→TV) 10 + TV
Alt A (Gradual Decline)
Alt B (30yr Hard Stop) N/A

This is a simplified DCF model for illustration. It uses reported free cash flow, a single growth assumption, fixed WACC, and a Gordon Growth terminal value. It is not investment advice.

+ 10YR Financials Balance Sheet (10YR) Cash Flow (10YR) DCF Model

No positive free cash flow in recent history — company has not generated positive FCF

Once the company meets all DCF eligibility criteria (sufficient history, profitability, growth trends), an estimate will become available automatically. No action is needed.