Discounted Cash Flow

Greif, Inc.

GEF · Based on 10 years of SEC filings

Average annual growth rates

Metric 10-Year 5-Year 3-Year
Sales
Free Cash Flow
Average (FCF & NI)
Net Income

Average annual growth is the mean year-over-year change across each period.

Endpoint CAGR (better for long term trend)

Metric 10-Year 5-Year 3-Year
Sales
Free Cash Flow
Average (FCF & NI)
Net Income

Endpoint CAGR is the compound annual rate from the first to last year in each period.

Projections use average year-over-year growth. Change this in Settings.

Projected growth rate

Free cash flow growth
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —
Averaged growth (FCF & NI)
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —
Net income growth
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —
Sales growth (not added to calculations)
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —

Click a greyed-out slider to switch metrics. Slide between the 10-year, 5-year, and 3-year historic growth rates for FCF, net income, or their average.

%
%

Historical inputs (10 fiscal years)

YEAR Sales Net Income Free Cash Flow Net Margin EPS (diluted)
2016 $3.3b $74.9m $200.9m 2.3%
2017 $3.6b (9.5%) $118.6m (58.3%) $208.2m (3.6%) 3.3% (44.7%)
2018 $3.9b (6.5%) $209.4m (76.6%) $112.8m (-45.8%) 5.4% (65.8%)
2019 $4.6b (18.6%) $171.0m (-18.3%) $232.7m (106.3%) 3.7% (-31.2%)
2020 $4.5b (-1.7%) $108.8m (-36.4%) $323.3m (38.9%) 2.4% (-35.2%)
2021 $5.6b (23.1%) $390.7m (259.1%) $255.3m (-21.0%) 7.0% (191.8%)
2022 $6.3b (14.3%) $376.7m (-3.6%) $481.2m (88.5%) 5.9% (-15.6%)
2023 $5.2b (-17.8%) $359.2m (-4.6%) $435.9m (-9.4%) 6.9% (16.0%)
2024 $5.4b (4.4%) $268.8m (-25.2%) $169.5m (-61.1%) 4.9% (-28.3%)
2025 $3.9b (-27.8%) $840.0m (212.5%) $58.6m (-65.4%) 21.4% (332.9%)

Base FCF: (latest fiscal year)

Discount rate: %

Terminal growth:

Projection period: years

Alt A decline yrs:

Alt B total yrs:

Projected cash flows

Year Projected cash flow Discount Factor Present Value

PV of projected FCF:

Terminal FCF:

Terminal value:

PV of terminal value:

Enterprise value (DCF):

DCF price per share:

Current price:

Alternative DCF Models

Model Fair Value Upside PV(FCFs) PV(Terminal) Total Years
Standard (10yr→TV) 10 + TV
Alt A (Gradual Decline)
Alt B (30yr Hard Stop) N/A

This is a simplified DCF model for illustration. It uses reported free cash flow, a single growth assumption, fixed WACC, and a Gordon Growth terminal value. It is not investment advice.

+ 10YR Financials Balance Sheet (10YR) Cash Flow (10YR) DCF Model