Discounted Cash Flow
Genesis Energy L.P. LP
—
—
Average annual growth rates
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Endpoint CAGR (better for long term trend)
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Projected growth rate
—
—
%
%
Historical inputs (10 fiscal years)
| YEAR | Sales | Net Income | Free Cash Flow | Net Margin | EPS (diluted) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 | $1.7b | $113.2m | $298.3m | 6.6% | $1.00 |
| 2017 | $2.0b (18.4%) | $82.6m (-27.0%) | $338.9m (13.6%) | 4.1% (-38.4%) | $0.50 (-50.0%) |
| 2018 | $2.9b (43.6%) | $-6.1m (-107.4%) | $390.0m (15.1%) | -0.2% (-105.1%) | $-0.62 (-224.0%) |
| 2019 | $2.5b (-14.8%) | $96.0m (1680.2%) | $382.3m (-2.0%) | 3.9% (1955.4%) | $0.18 (129.0%) |
| 2020 | $1.8b (-26.4%) | $-416.7m (-534.0%) | $296.7m (-22.4%) | -22.8% (-690.1%) | $-4.01 (-2327.8%) |
| 2021 | $2.1b (16.5%) | $-165.1m (60.4%) | $338.0m (13.9%) | -7.8% (66.0%) | $-1.96 (51.1%) |
| 2022 | $2.8b (31.2%) | $75.5m (145.7%) | $-89.8m (-126.6%) | 2.7% (134.8%) | $-0.04 (98.0%) |
| 2023 | $3.2b (13.9%) | $117.7m (56.0%) | $-98.9m (-10.1%) | 3.7% (37.0%) | $0.22 (650.0%) |
| 2024 | $3.0b (-6.6%) | $-63.9m (-154.3%) | $-195.2m (-97.4%) | -2.2% (-158.2%) | $-1.24 (-663.6%) |
| 2025 | $1.6b (-45.0%) | $-440.4m (-588.7%) | $65.9m (133.8%) | -27.0% (-1153.0%) | $-4.19 (-237.9%) |
Base FCF: — (latest fiscal year)
Discount rate: % —
Terminal growth: —
Projection period: — years
Alt A decline yrs:
Alt B total yrs:
Projected cash flows
| Year | Projected cash flow | Discount Factor | Present Value |
|---|
PV of projected FCF: —
Terminal FCF: —
Terminal value: —
PV of terminal value: —
Enterprise value (DCF): —
Current price: —
—Alternative DCF Models
| Model | Fair Value | Upside | PV(FCFs) | PV(Terminal) | Total Years |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Standard (10yr→TV) | — | — | — | — | 10 + TV |
| Alt A (Gradual Decline) | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alt B (30yr Hard Stop) | — | — | — | N/A | — |
This is a simplified DCF model for illustration. It uses reported free cash flow, a single growth assumption, fixed WACC, and a Gordon Growth terminal value. It is not investment advice.