Discounted Cash Flow
Gencor Industries Inc.
—
—
Average annual growth rates
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Endpoint CAGR (better for long term trend)
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Projected growth rate
—
—
%
%
Historical inputs (10 fiscal years)
| YEAR | Sales | Net Income | Free Cash Flow | Net Margin | EPS (diluted) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 | $70.0m | $7.0m | $6.7m | 10.1% | $0.49 |
| 2017 | $80.6m (15.2%) | $8.4m (19.5%) | $4.5m (-32.9%) | 10.4% (3.8%) | $0.58 (18.4%) |
| 2018 | $98.6m (22.3%) | $12.6m (49.3%) | $-15.5m (-446.7%) | 12.7% (22.0%) | $0.87 (50.0%) |
| 2019 | $81.3m (-17.5%) | $10.2m (-18.8%) | $2.1m (113.2%) | 12.5% (-1.6%) | $0.70 (-19.5%) |
| 2020 | $77.4m (-4.8%) | $5.5m (-45.8%) | $25.2m (1122.9%) | 7.1% (-43.0%) | $0.38 (-45.7%) |
| 2021 | $85.3m (10.1%) | $5.8m (5.0%) | $1.2m (-95.4%) | 6.8% (-4.7%) | $0.40 (5.3%) |
| 2022 | $103.5m (21.3%) | $-372.0k (-106.4%) | $-13.7m (-1275.8%) | -0.4% (-105.3%) | $-0.03 (-107.5%) |
| 2023 | $105.1m (1.5%) | $14.7m (4042.5%) | $7.5m (154.6%) | 14.0% (3982.6%) | $1.00 (3433.3%) |
| 2024 | $113.2m (7.7%) | $14.6m (-0.7%) | $8.5m (13.4%) | 12.9% (-7.8%) | $0.99 (-1.0%) |
| 2025 | $115.4m (2.0%) | $15.7m (7.6%) | $1.1m (-86.9%) | 13.6% (5.5%) | $1.07 (8.1%) |
Base FCF: — (latest fiscal year)
Discount rate: % —
Terminal growth: —
Projection period: — years
Alt A decline yrs:
Alt B total yrs:
Projected cash flows
| Year | Projected cash flow | Discount Factor | Present Value |
|---|
PV of projected FCF: —
Terminal FCF: —
Terminal value: —
PV of terminal value: —
Enterprise value (DCF): —
Current price: —
—Alternative DCF Models
| Model | Fair Value | Upside | PV(FCFs) | PV(Terminal) | Total Years |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Standard (10yr→TV) | — | — | — | — | 10 + TV |
| Alt A (Gradual Decline) | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alt B (30yr Hard Stop) | — | — | — | N/A | — |
This is a simplified DCF model for illustration. It uses reported free cash flow, a single growth assumption, fixed WACC, and a Gordon Growth terminal value. It is not investment advice.