Discounted Cash Flow
GEO Group Inc.
—
—
Average annual growth rates
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Endpoint CAGR (better for long term trend)
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Projected growth rate
—
—
%
%
Historical inputs (10 fiscal years)
| YEAR | Sales | Net Income | Free Cash Flow | Net Margin | EPS (diluted) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 | $2.2b | $148.7m | $-109.6m | 6.8% | $2.01 |
| 2017 | $2.3b (3.9%) | $146.2m (-1.7%) | $232.6m (312.3%) | 6.5% (-5.3%) | $1.22 (-39.3%) |
| 2018 | $2.3b (3.0%) | $145.1m (-0.8%) | $78.8m (-66.1%) | 6.2% (-3.7%) | $1.21 (-0.8%) |
| 2019 | $2.5b (6.3%) | $166.6m (14.8%) | $220.9m (180.3%) | 6.7% (8.0%) | $1.40 (15.7%) |
| 2020 | $2.4b (-5.2%) | $113.0m (-32.2%) | $332.9m (50.7%) | 4.8% (-28.5%) | $0.94 (-32.9%) |
| 2021 | $2.3b (-4.0%) | $77.4m (-31.5%) | $213.2m (-36.0%) | 3.4% (-28.7%) | $0.59 (-37.2%) |
| 2022 | $2.4b (5.3%) | $171.8m (121.9%) | $206.4m (-3.2%) | 7.2% (110.7%) | $1.18 (100.0%) |
| 2023 | $2.4b (1.5%) | $107.3m (-37.5%) | $211.9m (2.7%) | 4.4% (-38.5%) | $0.73 (-38.1%) |
| 2024 | $2.4b (0.4%) | $32.0m (-70.2%) | $163.5m (-22.8%) | 1.3% (-70.3%) | $0.23 (-68.5%) |
| 2025 | $2.6b (8.6%) | $254.4m (695.8%) | $-124.9m (-176.4%) | 9.7% (632.9%) | $1.85 (704.3%) |
Base FCF: — (latest fiscal year)
Discount rate: % —
Terminal growth: —
Projection period: — years
Alt A decline yrs:
Alt B total yrs:
Projected cash flows
| Year | Projected cash flow | Discount Factor | Present Value |
|---|
PV of projected FCF: —
Terminal FCF: —
Terminal value: —
PV of terminal value: —
Enterprise value (DCF): —
Current price: —
—Alternative DCF Models
| Model | Fair Value | Upside | PV(FCFs) | PV(Terminal) | Total Years |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Standard (10yr→TV) | — | — | — | — | 10 + TV |
| Alt A (Gradual Decline) | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alt B (30yr Hard Stop) | — | — | — | N/A | — |
This is a simplified DCF model for illustration. It uses reported free cash flow, a single growth assumption, fixed WACC, and a Gordon Growth terminal value. It is not investment advice.