Discounted Cash Flow
Gevo, Inc.
—
—
Average annual growth rates
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
| Dividends | — | — | — |
Endpoint CAGR (better for long term trend)
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Projected growth rate
—
—
%
%
Historical inputs (10 fiscal years)
| YEAR | Sales | Net Income | Free Cash Flow | Net Margin | EPS (diluted) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 | $27.2m | $-37.2m | $-26.5m | -136.8% | $-9.68 |
| 2017 | $27.5m (1.2%) | $-24.6m (33.8%) | $-22.5m (14.8%) | -89.4% (34.6%) | $-1.51 (84.4%) |
| 2018 | $32.9m (19.3%) | $-28.0m (-13.6%) | $-18.1m (19.7%) | -85.1% (4.8%) | $-5.74 (-280.1%) |
| 2019 | $24.5m (-25.5%) | $-28.7m (-2.4%) | $-26.8m (-48.4%) | -117.0% (-37.5%) | $-2.35 (59.1%) |
| 2020 | $5.5m (-77.4%) | $-40.2m (-40.2%) | $-25.2m (5.9%) | -725.9% (-520.2%) | $-0.71 (69.8%) |
| 2021 | $711.0k (-87.2%) | $-59.2m (-47.3%) | $-138.3m (-447.9%) | -8326.7% (-1047.1%) | $-0.30 (57.7%) |
| 2022 | $1.2m (65.3%) | $-98.0m (-65.5%) | $-128.4m (7.2%) | -8341.0% (-0.2%) | $-0.44 (-46.7%) |
| 2023 | $17.2m (1363.8%) | $-66.2m (32.4%) | $-108.2m (15.7%) | -385.0% (95.4%) | $-0.28 (36.4%) |
| 2024 | $16.9m (-1.7%) | $-78.6m (-18.8%) | $-108.5m (-0.3%) | -464.9% (-20.8%) | $-0.34 (-21.4%) |
| 2025 | $160.6m (849.3%) | $-33.8m (57.0%) | $-43.5m (59.9%) | -21.1% (95.5%) | $-0.14 (58.8%) |
Base FCF: — (latest fiscal year)
Discount rate: % —
Terminal growth: —
Projection period: — years
Alt A decline yrs:
Alt B total yrs:
Projected cash flows
| Year | Projected cash flow | Discount Factor | Present Value |
|---|
PV of projected FCF: —
Terminal FCF: —
Terminal value: —
PV of terminal value: —
Enterprise value (DCF): —
Current price: —
—Alternative DCF Models
| Model | Fair Value | Upside | PV(FCFs) | PV(Terminal) | Total Years |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Standard (10yr→TV) | — | — | — | — | 10 + TV |
| Alt A (Gradual Decline) | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alt B (30yr Hard Stop) | — | — | — | N/A | — |
This is a simplified DCF model for illustration. It uses reported free cash flow, a single growth assumption, fixed WACC, and a Gordon Growth terminal value. It is not investment advice.