Discounted Cash Flow
Graco Inc.
—
—
Average annual growth rates
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Endpoint CAGR (better for long term trend)
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Projected growth rate
—
—
%
%
Historical inputs (10 fiscal years)
| YEAR | Sales | Net Income | Free Cash Flow | Net Margin | EPS (diluted) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 | $1.3b | $40.7m | $227.0m | 3.1% | $0.73 |
| 2017 | $1.5b (10.9%) | $252.4m (520.6%) | $297.7m (31.1%) | 17.1% (459.4%) | $1.50 (105.5%) |
| 2018 | $1.7b (12.1%) | $341.1m (35.1%) | $314.1m (5.5%) | 20.6% (20.5%) | $2.04 (36.0%) |
| 2019 | $1.6b (-0.4%) | $343.9m (0.8%) | $290.8m (-7.4%) | 20.9% (1.3%) | $2.06 (1.0%) |
| 2020 | $1.7b (0.2%) | $330.5m (-3.9%) | $322.7m (11.0%) | 20.0% (-4.1%) | $1.97 (-4.4%) |
| 2021 | $2.0b (20.5%) | $439.9m (33.1%) | $323.3m (0.2%) | 22.1% (10.5%) | $2.59 (31.5%) |
| 2022 | $2.1b (7.8%) | $460.6m (4.7%) | $176.2m (-45.5%) | 21.5% (-2.9%) | $2.73 (5.4%) |
| 2023 | $2.2b (2.4%) | $506.5m (10.0%) | $466.2m (164.6%) | 23.1% (7.3%) | $3.01 (10.3%) |
| 2024 | $2.1b (-3.7%) | $486.1m (-4.0%) | $515.0m (10.4%) | 23.0% (-0.3%) | $2.88 (-4.3%) |
| 2025 | $2.2b (5.8%) | $521.8m (7.4%) | $637.9m (23.9%) | 23.3% (1.4%) | $3.14 (9.0%) |
Base FCF: — (latest fiscal year)
Discount rate: % —
Terminal growth: —
Projection period: — years
Alt A decline yrs:
Alt B total yrs:
Projected cash flows
| Year | Projected cash flow | Discount Factor | Present Value |
|---|
PV of projected FCF: —
Terminal FCF: —
Terminal value: —
PV of terminal value: —
Enterprise value (DCF): —
Current price: —
—Alternative DCF Models
| Model | Fair Value | Upside | PV(FCFs) | PV(Terminal) | Total Years |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Standard (10yr→TV) | — | — | — | — | 10 + TV |
| Alt A (Gradual Decline) | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alt B (30yr Hard Stop) | — | — | — | N/A | — |
This is a simplified DCF model for illustration. It uses reported free cash flow, a single growth assumption, fixed WACC, and a Gordon Growth terminal value. It is not investment advice.