Discounted Cash Flow
Graham Holdings Co.
—
—
Average annual growth rates
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Endpoint CAGR (better for long term trend)
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Projected growth rate
—
—
%
%
Historical inputs (10 fiscal years)
| YEAR | Sales | Net Income | Free Cash Flow | Net Margin | EPS (diluted) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 | $2.5b | $168.6m | $194.6m | 6.8% | $29.95 |
| 2017 | $2.6b (4.4%) | $302.0m (79.2%) | $207.7m (6.7%) | 11.7% (71.6%) | $54.24 (81.1%) |
| 2018 | $2.7b (4.0%) | $271.2m (-10.2%) | $188.8m (-9.1%) | 10.1% (-13.7%) | $50.55 (-6.8%) |
| 2019 | $2.9b (8.8%) | $327.9m (20.9%) | $71.7m (-62.0%) | 11.2% (11.2%) | $61.70 (22.1%) |
| 2020 | $2.9b (-1.5%) | $300.4m (-8.4%) | $141.1m (96.9%) | 10.4% (-7.0%) | $58.30 (-5.5%) |
| 2021 | $3.2b (10.3%) | $352.1m (17.2%) | $39.9m (-71.7%) | 11.1% (6.3%) | $70.65 (21.2%) |
| 2022 | $3.9b (23.2%) | $67.1m (-80.9%) | $152.9m (283.4%) | 1.7% (-84.5%) | $13.83 (-80.4%) |
| 2023 | $4.4b (12.5%) | $205.3m (206.0%) | $166.4m (8.8%) | 4.6% (172.0%) | $43.96 (217.9%) |
| 2024 | $4.8b (8.5%) | $724.6m (253.0%) | $324.1m (94.7%) | 15.1% (225.3%) | $164.62 (274.5%) |
| 2025 | $4.9b (2.5%) | $292.3m (-59.7%) | $275.3m (-15.0%) | 6.0% (-60.7%) | $67.11 (-59.2%) |
Base FCF: — (latest fiscal year)
Discount rate: % —
Terminal growth: —
Projection period: — years
Alt A decline yrs:
Alt B total yrs:
Projected cash flows
| Year | Projected cash flow | Discount Factor | Present Value |
|---|
PV of projected FCF: —
Terminal FCF: —
Terminal value: —
PV of terminal value: —
Enterprise value (DCF): —
Current price: —
—Alternative DCF Models
| Model | Fair Value | Upside | PV(FCFs) | PV(Terminal) | Total Years |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Standard (10yr→TV) | — | — | — | — | 10 + TV |
| Alt A (Gradual Decline) | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alt B (30yr Hard Stop) | — | — | — | N/A | — |
This is a simplified DCF model for illustration. It uses reported free cash flow, a single growth assumption, fixed WACC, and a Gordon Growth terminal value. It is not investment advice.