Discounted Cash Flow
Graham Corp.
—
—
Average annual growth rates
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Endpoint CAGR (better for long term trend)
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Projected growth rate
—
—
%
%
Historical inputs (10 fiscal years)
| YEAR | Sales | Net Income | Free Cash Flow | Net Margin | EPS (diluted) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2017 | $91.8m | $5.0m | $12.1m | 5.5% | $0.52 |
| 2018 | $77.5m (-15.5%) | $-9.8m (-296.0%) | $6.5m (-46.5%) | -12.7% (-332.0%) | $-1.01 (-294.2%) |
| 2019 | $91.8m (18.4%) | $-308.0k (96.9%) | $5.8m (-10.5%) | -0.3% (97.4%) | $-0.03 (97.0%) |
| 2020 | $90.6m (-1.3%) | $1.9m (707.8%) | $-1.2m (-120.4%) | 2.1% (716.0%) | $0.19 (733.3%) |
| 2021 | $97.5m (7.6%) | $2.4m (26.8%) | $-3.9m (-229.4%) | 2.4% (17.9%) | $0.24 (26.3%) |
| 2022 | $122.8m (26.0%) | $-8.8m (-469.5%) | $-4.5m (-17.1%) | -7.1% (-393.3%) | $-0.83 (-445.8%) |
| 2023 | $157.1m (27.9%) | $367.0k (104.2%) | $10.2m (323.8%) | 0.2% (103.3%) | $0.03 (103.6%) |
| 2024 | $185.5m (18.1%) | $4.6m (1141.4%) | $18.9m (85.9%) | 2.5% (951.3%) | $0.42 (1300.0%) |
| 2025 | $209.9m (13.1%) | $12.2m (168.4%) | $5.4m (-71.6%) | 5.8% (137.3%) | $1.12 (166.7%) |
| 2026 | $245.3m (16.9%) | $12.5m (2.2%) | $-121.0k (-102.3%) | 5.1% (-12.5%) | $1.14 (1.8%) |
Base FCF: — (latest fiscal year)
Discount rate: % —
Terminal growth: —
Projection period: — years
Alt A decline yrs:
Alt B total yrs:
Projected cash flows
| Year | Projected cash flow | Discount Factor | Present Value |
|---|
PV of projected FCF: —
Terminal FCF: —
Terminal value: —
PV of terminal value: —
Enterprise value (DCF): —
Current price: —
—Alternative DCF Models
| Model | Fair Value | Upside | PV(FCFs) | PV(Terminal) | Total Years |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Standard (10yr→TV) | — | — | — | — | 10 + TV |
| Alt A (Gradual Decline) | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alt B (30yr Hard Stop) | — | — | — | N/A | — |
This is a simplified DCF model for illustration. It uses reported free cash flow, a single growth assumption, fixed WACC, and a Gordon Growth terminal value. It is not investment advice.