Discounted Cash Flow

Global Industrial Co.

GIC · Based on 10 years of SEC filings

Average annual growth rates

Metric 10-Year 5-Year 3-Year
Sales
Free Cash Flow
Average (FCF & NI)
Net Income

Average annual growth is the mean year-over-year change across each period.

Endpoint CAGR (better for long term trend)

Metric 10-Year 5-Year 3-Year
Sales
Free Cash Flow
Average (FCF & NI)
Net Income

Endpoint CAGR is the compound annual rate from the first to last year in each period.

Projections use average year-over-year growth. Change this in Settings.

Projected growth rate

Free cash flow growth
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —
Averaged growth (FCF & NI)
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —
Net income growth
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —
Sales growth (not added to calculations)
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —

Click a greyed-out slider to switch metrics. Slide between the 10-year, 5-year, and 3-year historic growth rates for FCF, net income, or their average.

%
%

Historical inputs (10 fiscal years)

YEAR Sales Net Income Free Cash Flow Net Margin EPS (diluted)
2016 $1.7b $-32.6m $-60.7m -1.9% $0.10
2017 $1.3b (-24.7%) $40.4m (223.9%) $42.8m (170.5%) 3.2% (264.5%) $1.09 (990.0%)
2018 $896.9m (-29.1%) $224.7m (456.2%) $-26.8m (-162.6%) 25.1% (684.7%) $6.03 (453.2%)
2019 $946.9m (5.6%) $48.5m (-78.4%) $61.5m (329.5%) 5.1% (-79.6%) $1.29 (-78.6%)
2020 $1.0b (8.7%) $65.4m (34.8%) $65.5m (6.5%) 6.4% (24.1%) $1.72 (33.3%)
2021 $1.1b (3.3%) $103.3m (58.0%) $46.4m (-29.2%) 9.7% (52.9%) $2.73 (58.7%)
2022 $1.2b (9.7%) $78.8m (-23.7%) $42.8m (-7.8%) 6.8% (-30.5%) $2.07 (-24.2%)
2023 $1.3b (9.3%) $70.7m (-10.3%) $108.1m (152.6%) 5.5% (-17.9%) $1.85 (-10.6%)
2024 $1.3b (3.3%) $61.0m (-13.7%) $46.9m (-56.6%) 4.6% (-16.4%) $1.59 (-14.1%)
2025 $1.4b (4.8%) $72.1m (18.2%) $74.7m (59.3%) 5.2% (12.8%) $1.86 (17.0%)

Base FCF: (latest fiscal year)

Discount rate: %

Terminal growth:

Projection period: years

Alt A decline yrs:

Alt B total yrs:

Projected cash flows

Year Projected cash flow Discount Factor Present Value

PV of projected FCF:

Terminal FCF:

Terminal value:

PV of terminal value:

Enterprise value (DCF):

DCF price per share:

Current price:

Alternative DCF Models

Model Fair Value Upside PV(FCFs) PV(Terminal) Total Years
Standard (10yr→TV) 10 + TV
Alt A (Gradual Decline)
Alt B (30yr Hard Stop) N/A

This is a simplified DCF model for illustration. It uses reported free cash flow, a single growth assumption, fixed WACC, and a Gordon Growth terminal value. It is not investment advice.

+ 10YR Financials Balance Sheet (10YR) Cash Flow (10YR) DCF Model