Discounted Cash Flow

Global Partners L.P. LP

GLP · Based on 10 years of SEC filings

Average annual growth rates

Metric 10-Year 5-Year 3-Year
Sales
Free Cash Flow
Average (FCF & NI)
Net Income

Average annual growth is the mean year-over-year change across each period.

Endpoint CAGR (better for long term trend)

Metric 10-Year 5-Year 3-Year
Sales
Free Cash Flow
Average (FCF & NI)
Net Income

Endpoint CAGR is the compound annual rate from the first to last year in each period.

Projections use average year-over-year growth. Change this in Settings.

Projected growth rate

Free cash flow growth
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —
Averaged growth (FCF & NI)
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —
Net income growth
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —
Sales growth (not added to calculations)
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —

Click a greyed-out slider to switch metrics. Slide between the 10-year, 5-year, and 3-year historic growth rates for FCF, net income, or their average.

%
%

Historical inputs (10 fiscal years)

YEAR Sales Net Income Free Cash Flow Net Margin EPS (diluted)
2016 $8.2b $-238.6m $-191.2m -2.9%
2017 $8.9b (8.3%) $58.8m (124.6%) $298.6m (256.2%) 0.7% (122.7%)
2018 $6.8b (-23.9%) $103.9m (76.9%) $99.7m (-66.6%) 1.5% (132.5%)
2019 $6.7b (-1.6%) $35.9m (-65.5%) $11.5m (-88.4%) 0.5% (-64.9%)
2020 $4.6b (-30.9%) $102.2m (185.0%) $236.2m (1947.1%) 2.2% (312.3%)
2021 $7.6b (64.3%) $60.8m (-40.5%) $-51.5m (-121.8%) 0.8% (-63.8%)
2022 $11.1b (47.0%) $362.2m (495.8%) $373.2m (824.7%) 3.2% (305.4%)
2023 $9.8b (-12.5%) $152.5m (-57.9%) $110.4m (-70.4%) 1.6% (-51.9%)
2024 $8.7b (-10.9%) $110.3m (-27.7%) $-286.8m (-359.7%) 1.3% (-18.8%)
2025 $8.7b (0.3%) $98.0m (-11.2%) $193.3m (167.4%) 1.1% (-11.5%)

Base FCF: (latest fiscal year)

Discount rate: %

Terminal growth:

Projection period: years

Alt A decline yrs:

Alt B total yrs:

Projected cash flows

Year Projected cash flow Discount Factor Present Value

PV of projected FCF:

Terminal FCF:

Terminal value:

PV of terminal value:

Enterprise value (DCF):

DCF price per share:

Current price:

Alternative DCF Models

Model Fair Value Upside PV(FCFs) PV(Terminal) Total Years
Standard (10yr→TV) 10 + TV
Alt A (Gradual Decline)
Alt B (30yr Hard Stop) N/A

This is a simplified DCF model for illustration. It uses reported free cash flow, a single growth assumption, fixed WACC, and a Gordon Growth terminal value. It is not investment advice.

+ 10YR Financials Balance Sheet (10YR) Cash Flow (10YR) DCF Model