Discounted Cash Flow

General Motors Co.

GM · Based on 10 years of SEC filings

Average annual growth rates

Metric 10-Year 5-Year 3-Year
Sales
Free Cash Flow
Average (FCF & NI)
Net Income

Average annual growth is the mean year-over-year change across each period.

Endpoint CAGR (better for long term trend)

Metric 10-Year 5-Year 3-Year
Sales
Free Cash Flow
Average (FCF & NI)
Net Income

Endpoint CAGR is the compound annual rate from the first to last year in each period.

Projections use average year-over-year growth. Change this in Settings.

Projected growth rate

Free cash flow growth
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —
Averaged growth (FCF & NI)
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —
Net income growth
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —
Sales growth (not added to calculations)
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —

Click a greyed-out slider to switch metrics. Slide between the 10-year, 5-year, and 3-year historic growth rates for FCF, net income, or their average.

%
%

Historical inputs (10 fiscal years)

YEAR Sales Net Income Free Cash Flow Net Margin EPS (diluted)
2016 $156.8b $9.4b $7.0b 6.0% $6.12
2017 $133.4b (-14.9%) $-3.9b (-141.0%) $8.9b (26.7%) -2.9% (-148.2%) $-2.65 (-143.3%)
2018 $147.0b (10.2%) $8.0b (307.4%) $6.5b (-26.8%) 5.4% (288.2%) $5.61 (311.7%)
2019 $137.2b (-6.7%) $6.7b (-16.0%) $7.4b (14.4%) 4.9% (-10.0%) $4.62 (-17.6%)
2020 $122.5b (-10.7%) $6.4b (-4.5%) $11.4b (53.0%) 5.2% (7.0%) $4.36 (-5.6%)
2021 $127.0b (3.7%) $10.0b (55.9%) $7.7b (-32.5%) 7.9% (50.3%) $6.78 (55.5%)
2022 $156.7b (23.4%) $9.9b (-0.8%) $6.8b (-11.4%) 6.3% (-19.7%) $6.17 (-9.0%)
2023 $171.8b (9.6%) $10.1b (1.9%) $10.0b (46.4%) 5.9% (-7.0%) $7.35 (19.1%)
2024 $187.4b (9.1%) $6.0b (-40.7%) $9.3b (-6.6%) 3.2% (-45.6%) $6.45 (-12.2%)
2025 $185.0b (-1.3%) $2.7b (-55.1%) $17.6b (88.9%) 1.5% (-54.5%) $3.33 (-48.4%)

Base FCF: (latest fiscal year)

Discount rate: %

Terminal growth:

Projection period: years

Alt A decline yrs:

Alt B total yrs:

Values abbreviated: b = billions, m = millions, k = thousands.

Projected cash flows

Year Projected cash flow Discount Factor Present Value

PV of projected FCF:

Terminal FCF:

Terminal value:

PV of terminal value:

Enterprise value (DCF):

DCF price per share:

Current price:

Alternative DCF Models

Model Fair Value Upside PV(FCFs) PV(Terminal) Total Years
Standard (10yr→TV) 10 + TV
Alt A (Gradual Decline)
Alt B (30yr Hard Stop) N/A

This is a simplified DCF model for illustration. It uses reported free cash flow, a single growth assumption, fixed WACC, and a Gordon Growth terminal value. It is not investment advice.

+ 10YR Financials Balance Sheet (10YR) Cash Flow (10YR) DCF Model