Discounted Cash Flow

Genie Energy Ltd.

GNE · Based on 10 years of SEC filings

Average annual growth rates

Metric 10-Year 5-Year 3-Year
Sales
Free Cash Flow
Average (FCF & NI)
Net Income

Average annual growth is the mean year-over-year change across each period.

Endpoint CAGR (better for long term trend)

Metric 10-Year 5-Year 3-Year
Sales
Free Cash Flow
Average (FCF & NI)
Net Income

Endpoint CAGR is the compound annual rate from the first to last year in each period.

Projections use average year-over-year growth. Change this in Settings.

Projected growth rate

Free cash flow growth
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —
Averaged growth (FCF & NI)
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —
Net income growth
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —
Sales growth (not added to calculations)
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —

Click a greyed-out slider to switch metrics. Slide between the 10-year, 5-year, and 3-year historic growth rates for FCF, net income, or their average.

%
%

Historical inputs (10 fiscal years)

YEAR Sales Net Income Free Cash Flow Net Margin EPS (diluted)
2016 $212.1m $-24.5m $15.0m -11.6% $-1.14
2017 $264.2m (24.6%) $-7.0m (71.5%) $6.1m (-59.3%) -2.6% (77.1%) $-0.36 (68.4%)
2018 $280.3m (6.1%) $22.8m (425.8%) $18.8m (208.6%) 8.1% (407.1%) $0.85 (336.1%)
2019 $315.3m (12.5%) $4.2m (-81.7%) $15.3m (-18.3%) 1.3% (-83.7%) $0.10 (-88.2%)
2020 $379.3m (20.3%) $13.2m (215.1%) $23.0m (49.5%) 3.5% (161.9%) $0.45 (350.0%)
2021 $363.7m (-4.1%) $29.2m (122.1%) $66.9m (191.3%) 8.0% (131.6%) $1.06 (135.6%)
2022 $315.5m (-13.2%) $87.8m (200.6%) $79.7m (19.1%) 27.8% (246.5%) $3.35 (216.0%)
2023 $428.7m (35.9%) $19.5m (-77.7%) $61.1m (-23.3%) 4.6% (-83.6%) $0.75 (-77.6%)
2024 $425.2m (-0.8%) $12.6m (-35.6%) $69.5m (13.7%) 3.0% (-35.0%) $0.47 (-37.3%)
2025 $502.0m (18.1%) $24.0m (90.7%) $44.4m (-36.1%) 4.8% (61.5%) $0.91 (93.6%)

Base FCF: (latest fiscal year)

Discount rate: %

Terminal growth:

Projection period: years

Alt A decline yrs:

Alt B total yrs:

Projected cash flows

Year Projected cash flow Discount Factor Present Value

PV of projected FCF:

Terminal FCF:

Terminal value:

PV of terminal value:

Enterprise value (DCF):

DCF price per share:

Current price:

Alternative DCF Models

Model Fair Value Upside PV(FCFs) PV(Terminal) Total Years
Standard (10yr→TV) 10 + TV
Alt A (Gradual Decline)
Alt B (30yr Hard Stop) N/A

This is a simplified DCF model for illustration. It uses reported free cash flow, a single growth assumption, fixed WACC, and a Gordon Growth terminal value. It is not investment advice.

+ 10YR Financials Balance Sheet (10YR) Cash Flow (10YR) DCF Model