Discounted Cash Flow

Gogo Inc.

GOGO · Based on 10 years of SEC filings

Average annual growth rates

Metric 10-Year 5-Year 3-Year
Sales
Free Cash Flow
Average (FCF & NI)
Net Income

Average annual growth is the mean year-over-year change across each period.

Endpoint CAGR (better for long term trend)

Metric 10-Year 5-Year 3-Year
Sales
Free Cash Flow
Average (FCF & NI)
Net Income

Endpoint CAGR is the compound annual rate from the first to last year in each period.

Projections use average year-over-year growth. Change this in Settings.

Projected growth rate

Free cash flow growth
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —
Averaged growth (FCF & NI)
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —
Net income growth
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —
Sales growth (not added to calculations)
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —

Click a greyed-out slider to switch metrics. Slide between the 10-year, 5-year, and 3-year historic growth rates for FCF, net income, or their average.

%
%

Historical inputs (10 fiscal years)

YEAR Sales Net Income Free Cash Flow Net Margin EPS (diluted)
2016 $596.5m $-124.5m $-83.3m -20.9% $-1.58
2017 $699.1m (17.2%) $-172.0m (-38.1%) $-192.1m (-130.6%) -24.6% (-17.9%) $-2.17 (-37.3%)
2018 $893.8m (27.8%) $-162.0m (5.8%) $-190.9m (0.6%) -18.1% (26.3%) $-2.02 (6.9%)
2019 $835.7m (-6.5%) $-146.0m (9.9%) $-36.1m (81.1%) -17.5% (3.6%) $-1.81 (10.4%)
2020 $269.7m (-67.7%) $-250.0m (-71.3%) $-139.0m (-285.5%) -92.7% (-430.6%) $-3.04 (-68.0%)
2021 $335.7m (24.5%) $152.7m (161.1%) $-5.5m (96.1%) 45.5% (149.1%) $1.46 (148.0%)
2022 $404.1m (20.4%) $92.1m (-39.7%) $59.5m (1186.6%) 22.8% (-49.9%) $0.75 (-48.6%)
2023 $397.6m (-1.6%) $145.7m (58.2%) $62.7m (5.4%) 36.6% (60.8%) $1.12 (49.3%)
2024 $444.7m (11.9%) $13.7m (-90.6%) $27.9m (-55.5%) 3.1% (-91.6%) $0.11 (-90.2%)
2025 $910.5m (104.7%) $12.9m (-6.0%) $65.1m (133.2%) 1.4% (-54.1%) $0.10 (-9.1%)

Base FCF: (latest fiscal year)

Discount rate: %

Terminal growth:

Projection period: years

Alt A decline yrs:

Alt B total yrs:

Projected cash flows

Year Projected cash flow Discount Factor Present Value

PV of projected FCF:

Terminal FCF:

Terminal value:

PV of terminal value:

Enterprise value (DCF):

DCF price per share:

Current price:

Alternative DCF Models

Model Fair Value Upside PV(FCFs) PV(Terminal) Total Years
Standard (10yr→TV) 10 + TV
Alt A (Gradual Decline)
Alt B (30yr Hard Stop) N/A

This is a simplified DCF model for illustration. It uses reported free cash flow, a single growth assumption, fixed WACC, and a Gordon Growth terminal value. It is not investment advice.

+ 10YR Financials Balance Sheet (10YR) Cash Flow (10YR) DCF Model