Discounted Cash Flow
Alphabet Inc.
—
—
Average annual growth rates
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Endpoint CAGR (better for long term trend)
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Projected growth rate
—
—
%
%
Historical inputs (10 fiscal years)
| YEAR | Sales | Net Income | Free Cash Flow | Net Margin | EPS (diluted) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 | $90.3b | $19.5b | $25.8b | 21.6% | $113.28 |
| 2017 | $110.9b (22.8%) | $12.7b (-35.0%) | $23.9b (-7.4%) | 11.4% (-47.1%) | $73.08 (-35.5%) |
| 2018 | $136.8b (23.4%) | $30.7b (142.7%) | $22.8b (-4.5%) | 22.5% (96.7%) | $44.22 (-39.5%) |
| 2019 | $161.9b (18.3%) | $34.3b (11.7%) | $31.0b (35.7%) | 21.2% (-5.5%) | $49.59 (12.1%) |
| 2020 | $182.5b (12.8%) | $40.3b (17.3%) | $42.8b (38.3%) | 22.1% (4.0%) | $59.15 (19.3%) |
| 2021 | $257.6b (41.2%) | $76.0b (88.8%) | $67.0b (56.4%) | 29.5% (33.8%) | $113.88 (92.5%) |
| 2022 | $282.8b (9.8%) | $60.0b (-21.1%) | $60.0b (-10.4%) | 21.2% (-28.2%) | $4.59 (-96.0%) |
| 2023 | $307.6b (8.8%) | $73.8b (23.0%) | $69.5b (15.8%) | 24.0% (13.1%) | $5.84 (27.2%) |
| 2024 | $350.2b (13.8%) | $100.1b (35.7%) | $72.8b (4.7%) | 28.6% (19.2%) | $8.13 (39.2%) |
| 2025 | $402.8b (15.0%) | $132.2b (32.0%) | $73.3b (0.7%) | 32.8% (14.8%) | $10.91 (34.2%) |
Base FCF: — (latest fiscal year)
Discount rate: % —
Terminal growth: —
Projection period: — years
Alt A decline yrs:
Alt B total yrs:
Values abbreviated: b = billions, m = millions, k = thousands.
Projected cash flows
| Year | Projected cash flow | Discount Factor | Present Value |
|---|
PV of projected FCF: —
Terminal FCF: —
Terminal value: —
PV of terminal value: —
Enterprise value (DCF): —
Current price: —
—Alternative DCF Models
| Model | Fair Value | Upside | PV(FCFs) | PV(Terminal) | Total Years |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Standard (10yr→TV) | — | — | — | — | 10 + TV |
| Alt A (Gradual Decline) | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alt B (30yr Hard Stop) | — | — | — | N/A | — |
This is a simplified DCF model for illustration. It uses reported free cash flow, a single growth assumption, fixed WACC, and a Gordon Growth terminal value. It is not investment advice.