Discounted Cash Flow
Genuine Parts Co.
—
—
Average annual growth rates
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Endpoint CAGR (better for long term trend)
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Projected growth rate
—
—
%
%
Historical inputs (10 fiscal years)
| YEAR | Sales | Net Income | Free Cash Flow | Net Margin | EPS (diluted) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 | $15.3b | $687.2m | $785.4m | 4.5% | $4.61 |
| 2017 | $16.3b (6.3%) | $616.8m (-10.3%) | $658.3m (-16.2%) | 3.8% (-15.6%) | $4.19 (-9.1%) |
| 2018 | $18.7b (14.9%) | $810.5m (31.4%) | $912.7m (38.7%) | 4.3% (14.4%) | $5.53 (32.0%) |
| 2019 | $19.4b (3.5%) | $621.1m (-23.4%) | $594.1m (-34.9%) | 3.2% (-26.0%) | $4.26 (-23.0%) |
| 2020 | $16.5b (-14.7%) | $-29.1m (-104.7%) | $-148.5m (-125.0%) | -0.2% (-105.5%) | $-0.20 (-104.7%) |
| 2021 | $18.9b (14.1%) | $898.8m (3188.4%) | $-266.1m (-79.3%) | 4.8% (2806.6%) | $6.27 (3235.0%) |
| 2022 | $22.1b (17.1%) | $1.2b (31.6%) | $-339.6m (-27.6%) | 5.4% (12.4%) | $8.36 (33.3%) |
| 2023 | $23.1b (4.5%) | $1.3b (11.3%) | $922.9m (371.7%) | 5.7% (6.5%) | $9.38 (12.2%) |
| 2024 | $23.5b (1.7%) | $904.1m (-31.3%) | $683.9m (-25.9%) | 3.8% (-32.5%) | $6.49 (-30.8%) |
| 2025 | $24.3b (3.5%) | $65.9m (-92.7%) | $420.9m (-38.5%) | 0.3% (-93.0%) | $0.47 (-92.8%) |
Base FCF: — (latest fiscal year)
Discount rate: % —
Terminal growth: —
Projection period: — years
Alt A decline yrs:
Alt B total yrs:
Values abbreviated: b = billions, m = millions, k = thousands.
Projected cash flows
| Year | Projected cash flow | Discount Factor | Present Value |
|---|
PV of projected FCF: —
Terminal FCF: —
Terminal value: —
PV of terminal value: —
Enterprise value (DCF): —
Current price: —
—Alternative DCF Models
| Model | Fair Value | Upside | PV(FCFs) | PV(Terminal) | Total Years |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Standard (10yr→TV) | — | — | — | — | 10 + TV |
| Alt A (Gradual Decline) | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alt B (30yr Hard Stop) | — | — | — | N/A | — |
This is a simplified DCF model for illustration. It uses reported free cash flow, a single growth assumption, fixed WACC, and a Gordon Growth terminal value. It is not investment advice.