Discounted Cash Flow

Group 1 Automotive Inc.

GPI · Based on 10 years of SEC filings

Average annual growth rates

Metric 10-Year 5-Year 3-Year
Sales
Free Cash Flow
Average (FCF & NI)
Net Income

Average annual growth is the mean year-over-year change across each period.

Endpoint CAGR (better for long term trend)

Metric 10-Year 5-Year 3-Year
Sales
Free Cash Flow
Average (FCF & NI)
Net Income

Endpoint CAGR is the compound annual rate from the first to last year in each period.

Projections use average year-over-year growth. Change this in Settings.

Projected growth rate

Free cash flow growth
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —
Averaged growth (FCF & NI)
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —
Net income growth
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —
Sales growth (not added to calculations)
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —

Click a greyed-out slider to switch metrics. Slide between the 10-year, 5-year, and 3-year historic growth rates for FCF, net income, or their average.

%
%

Historical inputs (10 fiscal years)

YEAR Sales Net Income Free Cash Flow Net Margin EPS (diluted)
2016 $10.9b $147.1m $228.3m 1.4% $6.67
2017 $11.1b (2.2%) $213.4m (45.1%) $-16.9m (-107.4%) 1.9% (42.1%) $10.08 (51.1%)
2018 $11.6b (4.3%) $157.8m (-26.1%) $128.9m (862.7%) 1.4% (-29.1%) $7.83 (-22.3%)
2019 $12.0b (3.8%) $174.0m (10.3%) $179.1m (38.9%) 1.4% (6.2%) $9.08 (16.0%)
2020 $10.9b (-9.9%) $286.5m (64.7%) $702.2m (292.1%) 2.6% (82.7%) $16.11 (77.4%)
2021 $13.5b (24.2%) $552.1m (92.7%) $1.1b (58.9%) 4.1% (55.1%) $34.23 (112.5%)
2022 $16.2b (20.3%) $751.5m (36.1%) $430.4m (-61.4%) 4.6% (13.1%) $47.46 (38.7%)
2023 $17.9b (10.2%) $601.6m (-19.9%) $4.8m (-98.9%) 3.4% (-27.3%) $42.92 (-9.6%)
2024 $19.9b (11.5%) $498.1m (-17.2%) $341.2m (7008.3%) 2.5% (-25.8%) $36.88 (-14.1%)
2025 $22.6b (13.2%) $325.2m (-34.7%) $424.5m (24.4%) 1.4% (-42.3%) $25.17 (-31.8%)

Base FCF: (latest fiscal year)

Discount rate: %

Terminal growth:

Projection period: years

Alt A decline yrs:

Alt B total yrs:

Values abbreviated: b = billions, m = millions, k = thousands.

Projected cash flows

Year Projected cash flow Discount Factor Present Value

PV of projected FCF:

Terminal FCF:

Terminal value:

PV of terminal value:

Enterprise value (DCF):

DCF price per share:

Current price:

Alternative DCF Models

Model Fair Value Upside PV(FCFs) PV(Terminal) Total Years
Standard (10yr→TV) 10 + TV
Alt A (Gradual Decline)
Alt B (30yr Hard Stop) N/A

This is a simplified DCF model for illustration. It uses reported free cash flow, a single growth assumption, fixed WACC, and a Gordon Growth terminal value. It is not investment advice.

+ 10YR Financials Balance Sheet (10YR) Cash Flow (10YR) DCF Model