Discounted Cash Flow
Graphic Packaging Holding Co.
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Average annual growth rates
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Endpoint CAGR (better for long term trend)
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Projected growth rate
—
—
%
%
Historical inputs (10 fiscal years)
| YEAR | Sales | Net Income | Free Cash Flow | Net Margin | EPS (diluted) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 | $4.3b | $228.0m | $641.4m | 5.3% | $0.71 |
| 2017 | $4.4b (2.5%) | $300.2m (31.7%) | $516.2m (-19.5%) | 6.8% (28.5%) | $0.97 (36.6%) |
| 2018 | $6.0b (36.4%) | $221.1m (-26.3%) | $-373.8m (-172.4%) | 3.7% (-46.0%) | $0.71 (-26.8%) |
| 2019 | $6.1b (2.3%) | $206.8m (-6.5%) | $665.8m (278.1%) | 3.4% (-8.5%) | $0.70 (-1.4%) |
| 2020 | $6.5b (6.4%) | $167.3m (-19.1%) | $824.7m (23.9%) | 2.6% (-24.0%) | $0.60 (-14.3%) |
| 2021 | $7.1b (9.1%) | $204.0m (21.9%) | $609.0m (-26.2%) | 2.9% (11.8%) | $0.69 (15.0%) |
| 2022 | $9.4b (32.0%) | $522.0m (155.9%) | $541.0m (-11.2%) | 5.5% (93.9%) | $1.69 (144.9%) |
| 2023 | $9.4b (-0.3%) | $723.0m (38.5%) | $340.0m (-37.2%) | 7.7% (38.9%) | $2.35 (39.1%) |
| 2024 | $8.8b (-6.5%) | $658.0m (-9.0%) | $-363.0m (-206.8%) | 7.5% (-2.7%) | $2.16 (-8.1%) |
| 2025 | $8.6b (-2.2%) | $444.0m (-32.5%) | $-81.0m (77.7%) | 5.2% (-31.0%) | $1.48 (-31.5%) |
Base FCF: — (latest fiscal year)
Discount rate: % —
Terminal growth: —
Projection period: — years
Alt A decline yrs:
Alt B total yrs:
Projected cash flows
| Year | Projected cash flow | Discount Factor | Present Value |
|---|
PV of projected FCF: —
Terminal FCF: —
Terminal value: —
PV of terminal value: —
Enterprise value (DCF): —
Current price: —
—Alternative DCF Models
| Model | Fair Value | Upside | PV(FCFs) | PV(Terminal) | Total Years |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Standard (10yr→TV) | — | — | — | — | 10 + TV |
| Alt A (Gradual Decline) | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alt B (30yr Hard Stop) | — | — | — | N/A | — |
This is a simplified DCF model for illustration. It uses reported free cash flow, a single growth assumption, fixed WACC, and a Gordon Growth terminal value. It is not investment advice.