Discounted Cash Flow
Green Plains Inc.
—
—
Average annual growth rates
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Endpoint CAGR (better for long term trend)
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Projected growth rate
—
—
%
%
Historical inputs (10 fiscal years)
| YEAR | Sales | Net Income | Free Cash Flow | Net Margin | EPS (diluted) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 | $3.4b | $10.7m | $24.8m | 0.3% | $0.28 |
| 2017 | $3.6b (5.4%) | $61.1m (472.6%) | $-206.3m (-931.3%) | 1.7% (443.1%) | $1.43 (410.7%) |
| 2018 | $3.8b (6.9%) | $15.9m (-73.9%) | $-5.2m (97.5%) | 0.4% (-75.6%) | $0.11 (-92.3%) |
| 2019 | $2.4b (-37.1%) | $-166.9m (-1147.9%) | $-85.0m (-1528.6%) | -6.9% (-1766.2%) | $-4.40 (-4100.0%) |
| 2020 | $1.9b (-20.4%) | $-108.8m (34.8%) | $-11.7m (86.3%) | -5.7% (18.1%) | $-3.14 (28.6%) |
| 2021 | $2.8b (47.0%) | $-1 (100.0%) | $-182.9m (-1465.8%) | -0.0% (100.0%) | $-1.41 (55.1%) |
| 2022 | $3.7b (29.6%) | $-127.2m (-9022553091.5%) | $-142.7m (22.0%) | -3.5% (-6964052652.7%) | $-2.29 (-62.4%) |
| 2023 | $3.3b (-10.0%) | $-93.4m (26.6%) | $-51.7m (63.7%) | -2.8% (18.4%) | $-1.59 (30.6%) |
| 2024 | $2.5b (-25.4%) | $-82.5m (11.7%) | $-125.0m (-141.7%) | -3.4% (-18.4%) | $-1.29 (18.9%) |
| 2025 | $2.1b (-14.9%) | $-121.3m (-47.0%) | $73.7m (158.9%) | -5.8% (-72.8%) | $-1.80 (-39.5%) |
Base FCF: — (latest fiscal year)
Discount rate: % —
Terminal growth: —
Projection period: — years
Alt A decline yrs:
Alt B total yrs:
Projected cash flows
| Year | Projected cash flow | Discount Factor | Present Value |
|---|
PV of projected FCF: —
Terminal FCF: —
Terminal value: —
PV of terminal value: —
Enterprise value (DCF): —
Current price: —
—Alternative DCF Models
| Model | Fair Value | Upside | PV(FCFs) | PV(Terminal) | Total Years |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Standard (10yr→TV) | — | — | — | — | 10 + TV |
| Alt A (Gradual Decline) | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alt B (30yr Hard Stop) | — | — | — | N/A | — |
This is a simplified DCF model for illustration. It uses reported free cash flow, a single growth assumption, fixed WACC, and a Gordon Growth terminal value. It is not investment advice.