Discounted Cash Flow
Groupon, Inc.
—
—
Average annual growth rates
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Endpoint CAGR (better for long term trend)
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Projected growth rate
—
—
%
%
Historical inputs (10 fiscal years)
| YEAR | Sales | Net Income | Free Cash Flow | Net Margin | EPS (diluted) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 | $3.0b | $-194.6m | $48.8m | -6.5% | $-0.34 |
| 2017 | $2.8b (-5.6%) | $26.6m (113.7%) | $75.9m (55.5%) | 0.9% (114.5%) | $0.03 (108.8%) |
| 2018 | $2.6b (-7.3%) | $-11.1m (-141.6%) | $121.2m (59.6%) | -0.4% (-144.9%) | $-0.02 (-166.7%) |
| 2019 | $2.2b (-15.8%) | $-22.4m (-102.0%) | $4.0m (-96.7%) | -1.0% (-140.0%) | $-0.04 (-100.0%) |
| 2020 | $1.4b (-36.1%) | $-287.9m (-1186.7%) | $-112.3m (-2939.7%) | -20.3% (-1915.1%) | $-10.07 (-25075.0%) |
| 2021 | $967.1m (-31.7%) | $118.7m (141.2%) | $-173.6m (-54.6%) | 12.3% (160.4%) | $4.04 (140.1%) |
| 2022 | $599.1m (-38.1%) | $-237.6m (-300.2%) | $-172.2m (0.8%) | -39.7% (-423.2%) | $-7.88 (-295.0%) |
| 2023 | $514.9m (-14.1%) | $-55.4m (76.7%) | $-97.3m (43.5%) | -10.8% (72.9%) | $-1.77 (77.5%) |
| 2024 | $492.6m (-4.3%) | $-59.0m (-6.5%) | $40.6m (141.7%) | -12.0% (-11.4%) | $-1.51 (14.7%) |
| 2025 | $498.4m (1.2%) | $-83.5m (-41.5%) | $49.9m (23.0%) | -16.8% (-39.8%) | $-2.08 (-37.7%) |
Base FCF: — (latest fiscal year)
Discount rate: % —
Terminal growth: —
Projection period: — years
Alt A decline yrs:
Alt B total yrs:
Projected cash flows
| Year | Projected cash flow | Discount Factor | Present Value |
|---|
PV of projected FCF: —
Terminal FCF: —
Terminal value: —
PV of terminal value: —
Enterprise value (DCF): —
Current price: —
—Alternative DCF Models
| Model | Fair Value | Upside | PV(FCFs) | PV(Terminal) | Total Years |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Standard (10yr→TV) | — | — | — | — | 10 + TV |
| Alt A (Gradual Decline) | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alt B (30yr Hard Stop) | — | — | — | N/A | — |
This is a simplified DCF model for illustration. It uses reported free cash flow, a single growth assumption, fixed WACC, and a Gordon Growth terminal value. It is not investment advice.