Discounted Cash Flow

Great Southern Bancorp, Inc.

GSBC · Based on 10 years of SEC filings

Average annual growth rates

Metric 10-Year 5-Year 3-Year
Sales
Free Cash Flow
Average (FCF & NI)
Net Income

Average annual growth is the mean year-over-year change across each period.

Endpoint CAGR (better for long term trend)

Metric 10-Year 5-Year 3-Year
Sales
Free Cash Flow
Average (FCF & NI)
Net Income

Endpoint CAGR is the compound annual rate from the first to last year in each period.

Projections use average year-over-year growth. Change this in Settings.

Projected growth rate

Free cash flow growth
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —
Averaged growth (FCF & NI)
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —
Net income growth
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —
Sales growth (not added to calculations)
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —

Click a greyed-out slider to switch metrics. Slide between the 10-year, 5-year, and 3-year historic growth rates for FCF, net income, or their average.

%
%

Historical inputs (10 fiscal years)

YEAR Sales Net Income Free Cash Flow Net Margin EPS (diluted)
2016 $45.3m $69.2m $3.26
2017 $51.6m (13.7%) $55.4m (-19.9%) $3.67 (12.6%)
2018 $67.1m (30.1%) $84.9m (53.2%) $4.75 (29.4%)
2019 $73.6m (9.7%) $74.6m (-12.1%) $5.18 (9.1%)
2020 $59.3m (-19.4%) $37.8m (-49.3%) $4.22 (-18.5%)
2021 $74.6m (25.8%) $79.2m (109.5%) $5.50 (30.3%)
2022 $75.9m (1.8%) $46.5m (-41.4%) $6.07 (10.4%)
2023 $67.8m (-10.7%) $73.4m (58.0%) $5.65 (-6.9%)
2024 $61.8m (-8.8%) $39.1m (-46.7%) $5.28 (-6.5%)
2025 $71.0m (14.8%) $70.1m (79.0%) $6.23 (18.0%)

Base FCF: (latest fiscal year)

Discount rate: %

Terminal growth:

Projection period: years

Alt A decline yrs:

Alt B total yrs:

Projected cash flows

Year Projected cash flow Discount Factor Present Value

PV of projected FCF:

Terminal FCF:

Terminal value:

PV of terminal value:

Enterprise value (DCF):

DCF price per share:

Current price:

Alternative DCF Models

Model Fair Value Upside PV(FCFs) PV(Terminal) Total Years
Standard (10yr→TV) 10 + TV
Alt A (Gradual Decline)
Alt B (30yr Hard Stop) N/A

This is a simplified DCF model for illustration. It uses reported free cash flow, a single growth assumption, fixed WACC, and a Gordon Growth terminal value. It is not investment advice.

+ 10YR Financials Balance Sheet (10YR) Cash Flow (10YR) DCF Model