Discounted Cash Flow
Goosehead Insurance, Inc.
—
—
Average annual growth rates
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
| Dividends | — | — | — |
Endpoint CAGR (better for long term trend)
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Projected growth rate
—
—
%
%
Historical inputs (10 fiscal years)
| YEAR | Sales | Net Income | Free Cash Flow | Net Margin | EPS (diluted) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2017 | $42.7m | $0 | $7.3m | 0.0% | $0.18 |
| 2018 | $60.1m (40.8%) | $-8.9m | $8.2m (11.6%) | -14.8% | $-0.66 (-466.7%) |
| 2019 | $77.5m (28.8%) | $3.6m (140.1%) | $17.5m (114.5%) | 4.6% (131.1%) | $0.24 (136.4%) |
| 2020 | $117.0m (51.0%) | $9.3m (160.4%) | $14.7m (-16.4%) | 7.9% (72.4%) | $0.55 (129.2%) |
| 2021 | $151.3m (29.3%) | $5.4m (-41.8%) | $22.7m (54.8%) | 3.6% (-55.0%) | $0.28 (-49.1%) |
| 2022 | $209.4m (38.4%) | $565.0k (-89.5%) | $25.6m (12.7%) | 0.3% (-92.4%) | $0.03 (-89.3%) |
| 2023 | $261.3m (24.8%) | $14.1m (2402.7%) | $46.3m (80.9%) | 5.4% (1905.7%) | $0.59 (1866.7%) |
| 2024 | $314.5m (20.4%) | $30.4m (115.2%) | $70.6m (52.4%) | 9.7% (78.8%) | $1.23 (108.5%) |
| 2025 | $365.3m (16.2%) | $27.8m (-8.5%) | $86.1m (22.0%) | 7.6% (-21.2%) | $1.11 (-9.8%) |
Base FCF: — (latest fiscal year)
Discount rate: % —
Terminal growth: —
Projection period: — years
Alt A decline yrs:
Alt B total yrs:
Projected cash flows
| Year | Projected cash flow | Discount Factor | Present Value |
|---|
PV of projected FCF: —
Terminal FCF: —
Terminal value: —
PV of terminal value: —
Enterprise value (DCF): —
Current price: —
—Alternative DCF Models
| Model | Fair Value | Upside | PV(FCFs) | PV(Terminal) | Total Years |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Standard (10yr→TV) | — | — | — | — | 10 + TV |
| Alt A (Gradual Decline) | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alt B (30yr Hard Stop) | — | — | — | N/A | — |
This is a simplified DCF model for illustration. It uses reported free cash flow, a single growth assumption, fixed WACC, and a Gordon Growth terminal value. It is not investment advice.