Discounted Cash Flow

Gates Industrial Corp. Plc.

GTES · Based on 10 years of SEC filings

Average annual growth rates

Metric 10-Year 5-Year 3-Year
Sales
Free Cash Flow
Average (FCF & NI)
Net Income

Average annual growth is the mean year-over-year change across each period.

Endpoint CAGR (better for long term trend)

Metric 10-Year 5-Year 3-Year
Sales
Free Cash Flow
Average (FCF & NI)
Net Income

Endpoint CAGR is the compound annual rate from the first to last year in each period.

Projections use average year-over-year growth. Change this in Settings.

Projected growth rate

Free cash flow growth
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —
Averaged growth (FCF & NI)
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —
Net income growth
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —
Sales growth (not added to calculations)
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —

Click a greyed-out slider to switch metrics. Slide between the 10-year, 5-year, and 3-year historic growth rates for FCF, net income, or their average.

%
%

Historical inputs (10 fiscal years)

YEAR Sales Net Income Free Cash Flow Net Margin EPS (diluted)
2016 $2.7b $57.7m $372.8m 2.1% $0.23
2017 $3.0b (10.7%) $151.3m (162.2%) $318.2m (-14.6%) 5.0% (136.8%) $0.60 (160.9%)
2018 $3.3b (10.1%) $245.3m (62.1%) $312.5m (-1.8%) 7.3% (47.3%) $0.84 (40.0%)
2019 $3.1b (-7.8%) $690.1m (181.3%) $347.1m (11.1%) 22.4% (205.1%) $2.37 (182.1%)
2020 $2.8b (-9.5%) $79.4m (-88.5%) $77.5m (-77.7%) 2.8% (-87.3%) $0.27 (-88.6%)
2021 $3.5b (24.4%) $297.1m (274.2%) $308.0m (297.4%) 8.6% (200.8%) $1.00 (270.4%)
2022 $3.6b (2.8%) $232.9m (-21.6%) $264.8m (-14.0%) 6.5% (-23.7%) $0.84 (-16.0%)
2023 $3.4b (-4.5%) $194.9m (-16.3%) $480.4m (81.4%) 5.7% (-12.3%) $0.74 (-11.9%)
2024 $3.4b (1.0%) $251.4m (29.0%) $378.4m (-21.2%) 7.3% (27.7%) $0.96 (29.7%)
2025 $2.8b (-18.9%) $79.4m (-68.4%) $475.1m (25.6%) 2.8% (-61.1%) $0.27 (-71.9%)

Base FCF: (latest fiscal year)

Discount rate: %

Terminal growth:

Projection period: years

Alt A decline yrs:

Alt B total yrs:

Projected cash flows

Year Projected cash flow Discount Factor Present Value

PV of projected FCF:

Terminal FCF:

Terminal value:

PV of terminal value:

Enterprise value (DCF):

DCF price per share:

Current price:

Alternative DCF Models

Model Fair Value Upside PV(FCFs) PV(Terminal) Total Years
Standard (10yr→TV) 10 + TV
Alt A (Gradual Decline)
Alt B (30yr Hard Stop) N/A

This is a simplified DCF model for illustration. It uses reported free cash flow, a single growth assumption, fixed WACC, and a Gordon Growth terminal value. It is not investment advice.

+ 10YR Financials Balance Sheet (10YR) Cash Flow (10YR) DCF Model