Discounted Cash Flow

Garrett Motion Inc.

GTX · Based on 10 years of SEC filings

Average annual growth rates

Metric 10-Year 5-Year 3-Year
Sales
Free Cash Flow
Average (FCF & NI)
Net Income

Average annual growth is the mean year-over-year change across each period.

Endpoint CAGR (better for long term trend)

Metric 10-Year 5-Year 3-Year
Sales
Free Cash Flow
Average (FCF & NI)
Net Income

Endpoint CAGR is the compound annual rate from the first to last year in each period.

Projections use average year-over-year growth. Change this in Settings.

Projected growth rate

Free cash flow growth
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —
Averaged growth (FCF & NI)
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —
Net income growth
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —
Sales growth (not added to calculations)
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —

Click a greyed-out slider to switch metrics. Slide between the 10-year, 5-year, and 3-year historic growth rates for FCF, net income, or their average.

%
%

Historical inputs (10 fiscal years)

YEAR Sales Net Income Free Cash Flow Net Margin EPS (diluted)
2017 $3.1b $-983.0m $-32.0m -31.8% $-13.27
2018 $3.4b (9.0%) $1.2b (222.7%) $278.0m (968.8%) 35.7% (212.5%) $16.28 (222.7%)
2019 $3.2b (-3.8%) $313.0m (-74.0%) $140.0m (-49.6%) 9.6% (-73.0%) $4.20 (-74.2%)
2020 $3.0b (-6.6%) $80.0m (-74.4%) $-55.0m (-139.3%) 2.6% (-72.6%) $1.06 (-74.8%)
2021 $3.6b (19.7%) $495.0m (518.8%) $-382.0m (-594.5%) 13.6% (416.7%) $1.69 (59.4%)
2022 $3.6b (-0.8%) $390.0m (-21.2%) $284.0m (174.3%) 10.8% (-20.6%) $0.75 (-55.6%)
2023 $3.9b (7.9%) $261.0m (-33.1%) $382.0m (34.5%) 6.7% (-38.0%) $-0.31 (-141.3%)
2024 $3.5b (-10.6%) $282.0m (8.0%) $317.0m (-17.0%) 8.1% (20.8%) $1.27 (509.7%)
2025 $3.6b (3.1%) $310.0m (9.9%) $341.0m (7.6%) 8.6% (6.6%) $1.55 (22.0%)

Base FCF: (latest fiscal year)

Discount rate: %

Terminal growth:

Projection period: years

Alt A decline yrs:

Alt B total yrs:

Values abbreviated: b = billions, m = millions, k = thousands.

Projected cash flows

Year Projected cash flow Discount Factor Present Value

PV of projected FCF:

Terminal FCF:

Terminal value:

PV of terminal value:

Enterprise value (DCF):

DCF price per share:

Current price:

Alternative DCF Models

Model Fair Value Upside PV(FCFs) PV(Terminal) Total Years
Standard (10yr→TV) 10 + TV
Alt A (Gradual Decline)
Alt B (30yr Hard Stop) N/A

This is a simplified DCF model for illustration. It uses reported free cash flow, a single growth assumption, fixed WACC, and a Gordon Growth terminal value. It is not investment advice.

+ 10YR Financials Balance Sheet (10YR) Cash Flow (10YR) DCF Model