Discounted Cash Flow
W.w. Grainger, Inc.
—
—
Average annual growth rates
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Endpoint CAGR (better for long term trend)
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Projected growth rate
—
—
%
%
Historical inputs (10 fiscal years)
| YEAR | Sales | Net Income | Free Cash Flow | Net Margin | EPS (diluted) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 | $10.1b | $605.9m | $718.7m | 6.0% | $9.94 |
| 2017 | $10.4b (2.8%) | $585.7m (-3.3%) | $819.3m (14.0%) | 5.6% (-6.0%) | $10.07 (1.3%) |
| 2018 | $11.2b (7.6%) | $782.0m (33.5%) | $818.0m (-0.2%) | 7.0% (24.0%) | $13.82 (37.2%) |
| 2019 | $11.5b (2.4%) | $849.0m (8.6%) | $821.0m (0.4%) | 7.4% (6.1%) | $15.39 (11.4%) |
| 2020 | $11.8b (2.7%) | $695.0m (-18.1%) | $926.0m (12.8%) | 5.9% (-20.3%) | $12.88 (-16.3%) |
| 2021 | $13.0b (10.4%) | $1.0b (50.1%) | $682.0m (-26.3%) | 8.0% (36.0%) | $19.94 (54.8%) |
| 2022 | $15.2b (16.9%) | $1.5b (48.3%) | $1.1b (57.9%) | 10.2% (26.8%) | $30.22 (51.6%) |
| 2023 | $16.5b (8.2%) | $1.8b (18.2%) | $1.6b (47.3%) | 11.1% (9.3%) | $36.39 (20.4%) |
| 2024 | $17.2b (4.2%) | $1.9b (4.4%) | $1.6b (-1.0%) | 11.1% (0.2%) | $38.84 (6.7%) |
| 2025 | $17.9b (4.5%) | $1.7b (-10.6%) | $1.3b (-15.2%) | 9.5% (-14.5%) | $35.47 (-8.7%) |
Base FCF: — (latest fiscal year)
Discount rate: % —
Terminal growth: —
Projection period: — years
Alt A decline yrs:
Alt B total yrs:
Values abbreviated: b = billions, m = millions, k = thousands.
Projected cash flows
| Year | Projected cash flow | Discount Factor | Present Value |
|---|
PV of projected FCF: —
Terminal FCF: —
Terminal value: —
PV of terminal value: —
Enterprise value (DCF): —
Current price: —
—Alternative DCF Models
| Model | Fair Value | Upside | PV(FCFs) | PV(Terminal) | Total Years |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Standard (10yr→TV) | — | — | — | — | 10 + TV |
| Alt A (Gradual Decline) | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alt B (30yr Hard Stop) | — | — | — | N/A | — |
This is a simplified DCF model for illustration. It uses reported free cash flow, a single growth assumption, fixed WACC, and a Gordon Growth terminal value. It is not investment advice.