Discounted Cash Flow

Home Bancorp, Inc.

HBCP · Based on 10 years of SEC filings

Average annual growth rates

Metric 10-Year 5-Year 3-Year
Sales
Free Cash Flow
Average (FCF & NI)
Net Income

Average annual growth is the mean year-over-year change across each period.

Endpoint CAGR (better for long term trend)

Metric 10-Year 5-Year 3-Year
Sales
Free Cash Flow
Average (FCF & NI)
Net Income

Endpoint CAGR is the compound annual rate from the first to last year in each period.

Projections use average year-over-year growth. Change this in Settings.

Projected growth rate

Free cash flow growth
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —
Averaged growth (FCF & NI)
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —
Net income growth
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —
Sales growth (not added to calculations)
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —

Click a greyed-out slider to switch metrics. Slide between the 10-year, 5-year, and 3-year historic growth rates for FCF, net income, or their average.

%
%

Historical inputs (10 fiscal years)

YEAR Sales Net Income Free Cash Flow Net Margin EPS (diluted)
2016 $16.0m $16.4m $2.34
2017 $16.8m (5.1%) $22.8m (39.5%) $2.36 (0.9%)
2018 $31.6m (87.8%) $42.1m (84.4%) $3.48 (47.5%)
2019 $27.9m (-11.6%) $40.1m (-4.8%) $3.08 (-11.5%)
2020 $24.8m (-11.3%) $46.9m (16.9%) $2.86 (-7.1%)
2021 $48.6m (96.3%) $53.2m (13.6%) $5.80 (102.8%)
2022 $34.1m (-29.9%) $48.5m (-8.9%) $4.19 (-27.8%)
2023 $40.2m (18.1%) $39.3m (-18.9%) $5.02 (19.8%)
2024 $36.4m (-9.5%) $44.7m (13.6%) $4.58 (-8.8%)
2025 $46.1m (26.5%) $44.3m (-0.7%) $5.93 (29.5%)

Base FCF: (latest fiscal year)

Discount rate: %

Terminal growth:

Projection period: years

Alt A decline yrs:

Alt B total yrs:

Projected cash flows

Year Projected cash flow Discount Factor Present Value

PV of projected FCF:

Terminal FCF:

Terminal value:

PV of terminal value:

Enterprise value (DCF):

DCF price per share:

Current price:

Alternative DCF Models

Model Fair Value Upside PV(FCFs) PV(Terminal) Total Years
Standard (10yr→TV) 10 + TV
Alt A (Gradual Decline)
Alt B (30yr Hard Stop) N/A

This is a simplified DCF model for illustration. It uses reported free cash flow, a single growth assumption, fixed WACC, and a Gordon Growth terminal value. It is not investment advice.

+ 10YR Financials Balance Sheet (10YR) Cash Flow (10YR) DCF Model