Discounted Cash Flow

HBT Financial, Inc.

HBT · Based on 10 years of SEC filings

Average annual growth rates

Metric 10-Year 5-Year 3-Year
Sales
Free Cash Flow
Average (FCF & NI)
Net Income

Average annual growth is the mean year-over-year change across each period.

Endpoint CAGR (better for long term trend)

Metric 10-Year 5-Year 3-Year
Sales
Free Cash Flow
Average (FCF & NI)
Net Income

Endpoint CAGR is the compound annual rate from the first to last year in each period.

Projections use average year-over-year growth. Change this in Settings.

Projected growth rate

Free cash flow growth
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —
Averaged growth (FCF & NI)
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —
Net income growth
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —
Sales growth (not added to calculations)
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —

Click a greyed-out slider to switch metrics. Slide between the 10-year, 5-year, and 3-year historic growth rates for FCF, net income, or their average.

%
%

Historical inputs (10 fiscal years)

YEAR Sales Net Income Free Cash Flow Net Margin EPS (diluted)
2017 $121.0m $56.1m $72.1m 46.4% $3.10
2018 $129.4m (7.0%) $63.8m (13.7%) $80.0m (11.0%) 49.3% (6.3%) $3.54 (14.2%)
2019 $133.8m (3.4%) $66.9m (4.8%) $89.1m (11.4%) 50.0% (1.4%) $3.33 (-5.9%)
2020 $117.6m (-12.1%) $36.8m (-44.9%) $31.3m (-64.9%) 31.3% (-37.3%) $1.34 (-59.8%)
2021 $122.4m (4.1%) $56.3m (52.7%) $43.1m (37.9%) 46.0% (46.7%) $2.02 (50.7%)
2022 $145.9m (19.2%) $56.5m (0.3%) $72.6m (68.4%) 38.7% (-15.8%) $1.95 (-3.5%)
2023 $191.1m (31.0%) $65.8m (16.6%) $65.8m (-9.3%) 34.5% (-11.0%) $2.08 (6.7%)
2024 $188.8m (-1.2%) $71.8m (9.0%) $89.4m (35.8%) 38.0% (10.3%) $2.27 (9.1%)
2025 $198.9m (5.3%) $77.0m (7.3%) $85.1m (-4.8%) 38.7% (1.9%) $2.44 (7.5%)

Base FCF: (latest fiscal year)

Discount rate: %

Terminal growth:

Projection period: years

Alt A decline yrs:

Alt B total yrs:

Projected cash flows

Year Projected cash flow Discount Factor Present Value

PV of projected FCF:

Terminal FCF:

Terminal value:

PV of terminal value:

Enterprise value (DCF):

DCF price per share:

Current price:

Alternative DCF Models

Model Fair Value Upside PV(FCFs) PV(Terminal) Total Years
Standard (10yr→TV) 10 + TV
Alt A (Gradual Decline)
Alt B (30yr Hard Stop) N/A

This is a simplified DCF model for illustration. It uses reported free cash flow, a single growth assumption, fixed WACC, and a Gordon Growth terminal value. It is not investment advice.

+ 10YR Financials Balance Sheet (10YR) Cash Flow (10YR) DCF Model