Discounted Cash Flow
HCA Healthcare, Inc.
—
—
Average annual growth rates
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Endpoint CAGR (better for long term trend)
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Projected growth rate
—
—
%
%
Historical inputs (10 fiscal years)
| YEAR | Sales | Net Income | Free Cash Flow | Net Margin | EPS (diluted) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 | $41.5b | $2.9b | $2.9b | 7.0% | $7.53 |
| 2017 | $43.6b (5.1%) | $2.2b (-23.3%) | $2.4b (-16.7%) | 5.1% (-27.1%) | $6.12 (-18.7%) |
| 2018 | $46.7b (7.0%) | $3.8b (70.9%) | $3.2b (32.2%) | 8.1% (59.7%) | $10.90 (78.1%) |
| 2019 | $51.3b (10.0%) | $3.5b (-7.4%) | $3.4b (8.0%) | 6.8% (-15.8%) | $10.27 (-5.8%) |
| 2020 | $51.5b (0.4%) | $3.8b (7.1%) | $6.4b (85.7%) | 7.3% (6.7%) | $11.10 (8.1%) |
| 2021 | $58.8b (14.0%) | $7.0b (85.3%) | $5.4b (-15.9%) | 11.8% (62.5%) | $21.52 (93.9%) |
| 2022 | $60.2b (2.5%) | $5.6b (-18.9%) | $4.1b (-23.3%) | 9.4% (-20.9%) | $19.43 (-9.7%) |
| 2023 | $65.0b (7.9%) | $5.2b (-7.1%) | $4.7b (13.6%) | 8.1% (-13.9%) | $19.25 (-0.9%) |
| 2024 | $70.6b (8.7%) | $5.8b (9.9%) | $5.6b (20.3%) | 8.2% (1.1%) | $22.27 (15.7%) |
| 2025 | $75.6b (7.1%) | $6.8b (17.8%) | $7.7b (36.4%) | 9.0% (10.0%) | $28.70 (28.9%) |
Base FCF: — (latest fiscal year)
Discount rate: % —
Terminal growth: —
Projection period: — years
Alt A decline yrs:
Alt B total yrs:
Values abbreviated: b = billions, m = millions, k = thousands.
Projected cash flows
| Year | Projected cash flow | Discount Factor | Present Value |
|---|
PV of projected FCF: —
Terminal FCF: —
Terminal value: —
PV of terminal value: —
Enterprise value (DCF): —
Current price: —
—Alternative DCF Models
| Model | Fair Value | Upside | PV(FCFs) | PV(Terminal) | Total Years |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Standard (10yr→TV) | — | — | — | — | 10 + TV |
| Alt A (Gradual Decline) | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alt B (30yr Hard Stop) | — | — | — | N/A | — |
This is a simplified DCF model for illustration. It uses reported free cash flow, a single growth assumption, fixed WACC, and a Gordon Growth terminal value. It is not investment advice.