Discounted Cash Flow
Warrior MET Coal, Inc.
—
—
Average annual growth rates
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Endpoint CAGR (better for long term trend)
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Projected growth rate
—
—
%
%
Historical inputs (10 fiscal years)
| YEAR | Sales | Net Income | Free Cash Flow | Net Margin | EPS (diluted) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2017 | $1.2b | $455.0m | $341.9m | 38.9% | $8.62 |
| 2018 | $1.4b (17.9%) | $696.8m (53.1%) | $457.8m (33.9%) | 50.6% (29.9%) | $13.19 (53.0%) |
| 2019 | $1.3b (-8.0%) | $301.7m (-56.7%) | $425.5m (-7.0%) | 23.8% (-53.0%) | $5.87 (-55.5%) |
| 2020 | $782.7m (-38.3%) | $-35.8m (-111.9%) | $25.1m (-94.1%) | -4.6% (-119.2%) | $-0.70 (-111.9%) |
| 2021 | $1.1b (35.3%) | $150.9m (521.9%) | $293.6m (1068.2%) | 14.2% (411.8%) | $2.94 (520.0%) |
| 2022 | $1.7b (64.2%) | $641.3m (325.0%) | $636.7m (116.8%) | 36.9% (158.9%) | $12.42 (322.4%) |
| 2023 | $1.7b (-3.6%) | $478.6m (-25.4%) | $209.4m (-67.1%) | 28.5% (-22.6%) | $9.21 (-25.8%) |
| 2024 | $1.5b (-9.0%) | $250.6m (-47.6%) | $-89.8m (-142.9%) | 16.4% (-42.4%) | $4.79 (-48.0%) |
| 2025 | $1.3b (-14.1%) | $57.0m (-77.3%) | $-91.0m (-1.4%) | 4.4% (-73.5%) | $1.08 (-77.5%) |
Base FCF: — (latest fiscal year)
Discount rate: % —
Terminal growth: —
Projection period: — years
Alt A decline yrs:
Alt B total yrs:
Projected cash flows
| Year | Projected cash flow | Discount Factor | Present Value |
|---|
PV of projected FCF: —
Terminal FCF: —
Terminal value: —
PV of terminal value: —
Enterprise value (DCF): —
Current price: —
—Alternative DCF Models
| Model | Fair Value | Upside | PV(FCFs) | PV(Terminal) | Total Years |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Standard (10yr→TV) | — | — | — | — | 10 + TV |
| Alt A (Gradual Decline) | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alt B (30yr Hard Stop) | — | — | — | N/A | — |
This is a simplified DCF model for illustration. It uses reported free cash flow, a single growth assumption, fixed WACC, and a Gordon Growth terminal value. It is not investment advice.