Discounted Cash Flow
HCI Group, Inc.
—
—
Average annual growth rates
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Endpoint CAGR (better for long term trend)
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Projected growth rate
—
—
%
%
Historical inputs (10 fiscal years)
| YEAR | Sales | Net Income | Free Cash Flow | Net Margin | EPS (diluted) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 | $264.4m | $29.0m | $87.1m | 11.0% | $2.95 |
| 2017 | $244.4m (-7.6%) | $-6.9m (-123.8%) | $14.1m (-83.8%) | -2.8% (-125.7%) | $-0.75 (-125.4%) |
| 2018 | $231.3m (-5.4%) | $17.7m (357.1%) | $26.4m (87.5%) | 7.7% (371.7%) | $2.34 (412.0%) |
| 2019 | $242.5m (4.8%) | $26.6m (49.9%) | $51.2m (93.7%) | 11.0% (43.0%) | $3.32 (41.9%) |
| 2020 | $310.4m (28.0%) | $27.6m (3.8%) | $70.9m (38.5%) | 8.9% (-18.9%) | $3.55 (6.9%) |
| 2021 | $407.9m (31.4%) | $1.9m (-93.3%) | $93.2m (31.5%) | 0.5% (-94.9%) | $0.23 (-93.5%) |
| 2022 | $499.6m (22.5%) | $-58.5m (-3252.5%) | $-6.4m (-106.8%) | -11.7% (-2674.2%) | $-6.24 (-2813.0%) |
| 2023 | $550.7m (10.2%) | $79.0m (235.1%) | $224.2m (3628.3%) | 14.4% (222.5%) | $9.13 (246.3%) |
| 2024 | $750.1m (36.2%) | $110.0m (39.1%) | $327.8m (46.2%) | 14.7% (2.1%) | $10.59 (16.0%) |
| 2025 | $900.9m (20.1%) | $299.0m (171.9%) | $440.8m (34.5%) | 33.2% (126.4%) | $24.58 (132.1%) |
Base FCF: — (latest fiscal year)
Discount rate: % —
Terminal growth: —
Projection period: — years
Alt A decline yrs:
Alt B total yrs:
Projected cash flows
| Year | Projected cash flow | Discount Factor | Present Value |
|---|
PV of projected FCF: —
Terminal FCF: —
Terminal value: —
PV of terminal value: —
Enterprise value (DCF): —
Current price: —
—Alternative DCF Models
| Model | Fair Value | Upside | PV(FCFs) | PV(Terminal) | Total Years |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Standard (10yr→TV) | — | — | — | — | 10 + TV |
| Alt A (Gradual Decline) | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alt B (30yr Hard Stop) | — | — | — | N/A | — |
This is a simplified DCF model for illustration. It uses reported free cash flow, a single growth assumption, fixed WACC, and a Gordon Growth terminal value. It is not investment advice.