Discounted Cash Flow

Healthcare Services Group Inc.

HCSG · Based on 10 years of SEC filings

Average annual growth rates

Metric 10-Year 5-Year 3-Year
Sales
Free Cash Flow
Average (FCF & NI)
Net Income

Average annual growth is the mean year-over-year change across each period.

Endpoint CAGR (better for long term trend)

Metric 10-Year 5-Year 3-Year
Sales
Free Cash Flow
Average (FCF & NI)
Net Income

Endpoint CAGR is the compound annual rate from the first to last year in each period.

Projections use average year-over-year growth. Change this in Settings.

Projected growth rate

Free cash flow growth
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —
Averaged growth (FCF & NI)
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —
Net income growth
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —
Sales growth (not added to calculations)
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —

Click a greyed-out slider to switch metrics. Slide between the 10-year, 5-year, and 3-year historic growth rates for FCF, net income, or their average.

%
%

Historical inputs (10 fiscal years)

YEAR Sales Net Income Free Cash Flow Net Margin EPS (diluted)
2016 $77.4m $36.0m $1.06
2017 $1.9b $88.2m (14.0%) $2.2m (-93.8%) 4.7% $1.20 (13.2%)
2018 $2.0b (7.3%) $83.5m (-5.3%) $75.1m (3262.8%) 4.2% (-11.8%) $1.13 (-5.8%)
2019 $1.8b (-8.1%) $64.6m (-22.7%) $89.2m (18.8%) 3.5% (-15.9%) $0.87 (-23.0%)
2020 $1.8b (-4.4%) $98.7m (52.8%) $212.9m (138.6%) 5.6% (59.8%) $1.32 (51.7%)
2021 $1.6b (-6.7%) $45.9m (-53.5%) $31.4m (-85.2%) 2.8% (-50.2%) $0.61 (-53.8%)
2022 $1.7b (2.9%) $34.6m (-24.5%) $-13.4m (-142.6%) 2.0% (-26.6%) $0.47 (-23.0%)
2023 $1.7b (-1.1%) $38.4m (10.8%) $38.1m (384.8%) 2.3% (12.1%) $0.52 (10.6%)
2024 $1.7b (2.7%) $39.5m (2.8%) $24.5m (-35.8%) 2.3% (0.2%) $0.54 (3.8%)
2025 $1.8b (7.1%) $59.1m (49.6%) $139.2m (468.7%) 3.2% (39.7%) $0.82 (51.9%)

Base FCF: (latest fiscal year)

Discount rate: %

Terminal growth:

Projection period: years

Alt A decline yrs:

Alt B total yrs:

Projected cash flows

Year Projected cash flow Discount Factor Present Value

PV of projected FCF:

Terminal FCF:

Terminal value:

PV of terminal value:

Enterprise value (DCF):

DCF price per share:

Current price:

Alternative DCF Models

Model Fair Value Upside PV(FCFs) PV(Terminal) Total Years
Standard (10yr→TV) 10 + TV
Alt A (Gradual Decline)
Alt B (30yr Hard Stop) N/A

This is a simplified DCF model for illustration. It uses reported free cash flow, a single growth assumption, fixed WACC, and a Gordon Growth terminal value. It is not investment advice.

+ 10YR Financials Balance Sheet (10YR) Cash Flow (10YR) DCF Model