Discounted Cash Flow

Hess Midstream L.P. LP

HESM · Based on 10 years of SEC filings

Average annual growth rates

Metric 10-Year 5-Year 3-Year
Sales
Free Cash Flow
Average (FCF & NI)
Net Income

Average annual growth is the mean year-over-year change across each period.

Endpoint CAGR (better for long term trend)

Metric 10-Year 5-Year 3-Year
Sales
Free Cash Flow
Average (FCF & NI)
Net Income

Endpoint CAGR is the compound annual rate from the first to last year in each period.

Projections use average year-over-year growth. Change this in Settings.

Projected growth rate

Free cash flow growth
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —
Averaged growth (FCF & NI)
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —
Net income growth
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —
Sales growth (not added to calculations)
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —

Click a greyed-out slider to switch metrics. Slide between the 10-year, 5-year, and 3-year historic growth rates for FCF, net income, or their average.

%
%

Historical inputs (10 fiscal years)

YEAR Sales Net Income Free Cash Flow Net Margin EPS (diluted)
2017 $579.5m $41.2m $192.3m 7.1%
2018 $712.7m (23.0%) $70.8m (71.8%) $225.0m (17.0%) 9.9% (39.7%)
2019 $848.3m (19.0%) $70.1m (-1.0%) $164.3m (-27.0%) 8.3% (-16.8%)
2020 $1.1b (28.7%) $24.0m (-65.8%) $24.0m (-85.4%) 2.2% (-73.4%)
2021 $1.2b (10.2%) $46.4m (93.3%) $46.4m (93.3%) 3.9% (75.4%)
2022 $1.3b (5.9%) $83.9m (80.8%) $622.9m (1242.5%) 6.6% (70.7%)
2023 $1.3b (5.8%) $118.6m (41.4%) $642.9m (3.2%) 8.8% (33.7%)
2024 $1.5b (10.9%) $223.1m (88.1%) $634.2m (-1.4%) 14.9% (69.6%)
2025 $1.6b (8.4%) $352.9m (58.2%) $728.2m (14.8%) 21.8% (45.9%)

Base FCF: (latest fiscal year)

Discount rate: %

Terminal growth:

Projection period: years

Alt A decline yrs:

Alt B total yrs:

Projected cash flows

Year Projected cash flow Discount Factor Present Value

PV of projected FCF:

Terminal FCF:

Terminal value:

PV of terminal value:

Enterprise value (DCF):

DCF price per share:

Current price:

Alternative DCF Models

Model Fair Value Upside PV(FCFs) PV(Terminal) Total Years
Standard (10yr→TV) 10 + TV
Alt A (Gradual Decline)
Alt B (30yr Hard Stop) N/A

This is a simplified DCF model for illustration. It uses reported free cash flow, a single growth assumption, fixed WACC, and a Gordon Growth terminal value. It is not investment advice.

+ 10YR Financials Balance Sheet (10YR) Cash Flow (10YR) DCF Model