Discounted Cash Flow

Hamilton Insurance Group, Ltd.

HG · Based on 10 years of SEC filings

Average annual growth rates

Metric 10-Year 5-Year 3-Year
Sales
Free Cash Flow
Average (FCF & NI)
Net Income
Dividends

Average annual growth is the mean year-over-year change across each period.

Endpoint CAGR (better for long term trend)

Metric 10-Year 5-Year 3-Year
Sales
Free Cash Flow
Average (FCF & NI)
Net Income

Endpoint CAGR is the compound annual rate from the first to last year in each period.

Projections use average year-over-year growth. Change this in Settings.

Projected growth rate

Free cash flow growth
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —
Averaged growth (FCF & NI)
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —
Net income growth
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —
Sales growth (not added to calculations)
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —

Click a greyed-out slider to switch metrics. Slide between the 10-year, 5-year, and 3-year historic growth rates for FCF, net income, or their average.

%
%

Historical inputs (10 fiscal years)

YEAR Sales Net Income Free Cash Flow Net Margin EPS (diluted)
2016 $17.4b $23.8b $89.0b 137.2% $0.66
2017 $5.6b (-67.7%) $41.7b (74.8%) $200.9b (125.8%) 743.5% (441.7%) $1.13 (71.2%)
2018 $-32.0m (-100.6%) $13.9b (-66.6%) $13.9b (-93.1%) -43503.1% (-5951.4%) $0.39 (-65.5%)
2019 $-19.5b (-60903.1%) $-351.5k (-100.0%) $-71.8m (-100.5%) 0.0% (100.0%) $-0.00 (-100.3%)
2020 $-4.0b (79.7%) $-627.9k (-78.6%) $-57.0m (20.7%) 0.0% (780.7%) $-0.00 (0.0%)
2021 $-1.8b (54.7%) $61.7m (9920.5%) $-114.5m (-101.0%) -3.4% (-21784.0%) $1.83 (183100.0%)
2022 $26.1b (1556.9%) $68.1m (10.4%) $-172.1m (-50.3%) 0.3% (107.6%) $-0.95 (-151.9%)
2023 $1.6b (-94.0%) $21.6m (-68.3%) $21.6m (112.5%) 1.4% (426.7%) $2.47 (360.0%)
2024 $2.3b (48.3%) $212.7m (886.7%) $759.3m (3421.8%) 9.1% (565.3%) $3.81 (54.3%)
2025 $2.9b (24.7%) $263.4m (23.8%) $842.4m (10.9%) 9.1% (-0.7%) $5.75 (50.9%)

Base FCF: (latest fiscal year)

Discount rate: %

Terminal growth:

Projection period: years

Alt A decline yrs:

Alt B total yrs:

Values abbreviated: b = billions, m = millions, k = thousands.

Projected cash flows

Year Projected cash flow Discount Factor Present Value

PV of projected FCF:

Terminal FCF:

Terminal value:

PV of terminal value:

Enterprise value (DCF):

DCF price per share:

Current price:

Alternative DCF Models

Model Fair Value Upside PV(FCFs) PV(Terminal) Total Years
Standard (10yr→TV) 10 + TV
Alt A (Gradual Decline)
Alt B (30yr Hard Stop) N/A

This is a simplified DCF model for illustration. It uses reported free cash flow, a single growth assumption, fixed WACC, and a Gordon Growth terminal value. It is not investment advice.

+ 10YR Financials Balance Sheet (10YR) Cash Flow (10YR) DCF Model