Discounted Cash Flow
Hilton Grand Vacations Inc.
—
—
Average annual growth rates
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Endpoint CAGR (better for long term trend)
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Projected growth rate
—
—
%
%
Historical inputs (10 fiscal years)
| YEAR | Sales | Net Income | Free Cash Flow | Net Margin | EPS (diluted) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 | $1.6b | $167.6m | $156.0m | 10.6% | $1.70 |
| 2017 | $1.7b (8.1%) | $326.8m (95.0%) | $321.0m (105.8%) | 19.1% (80.4%) | $3.30 (94.1%) |
| 2018 | $2.0b (16.8%) | $298.1m (-8.8%) | $-203.0m (-163.2%) | 14.9% (-21.9%) | $3.07 (-7.0%) |
| 2019 | $1.8b (-8.1%) | $215.7m (-27.6%) | $108.0m (153.2%) | 11.7% (-21.3%) | $2.43 (-20.8%) |
| 2020 | $894.0m (-51.4%) | $-200.7m (-193.1%) | $71.0m (-34.3%) | -22.5% (-291.3%) | $-2.36 (-197.1%) |
| 2021 | $2.3b (161.2%) | $176.4m (187.9%) | $150.0m (111.3%) | 7.6% (133.7%) | $1.77 (175.0%) |
| 2022 | $3.8b (64.2%) | $352.0m (99.5%) | $689.0m (359.3%) | 9.2% (21.5%) | $2.98 (68.4%) |
| 2023 | $4.0b (3.7%) | $313.0m (-11.1%) | $281.0m (-59.2%) | 7.9% (-14.3%) | $2.84 (-4.7%) |
| 2024 | $4.5b (12.2%) | $47.0m (-85.0%) | $267.0m (-5.0%) | 1.1% (-86.6%) | $0.46 (-83.8%) |
| 2025 | $4.5b (1.1%) | $81.0m (72.3%) | $230.0m (-13.9%) | 1.8% (70.5%) | $0.90 (95.7%) |
Base FCF: — (latest fiscal year)
Discount rate: % —
Terminal growth: —
Projection period: — years
Alt A decline yrs:
Alt B total yrs:
Projected cash flows
| Year | Projected cash flow | Discount Factor | Present Value |
|---|
PV of projected FCF: —
Terminal FCF: —
Terminal value: —
PV of terminal value: —
Enterprise value (DCF): —
Current price: —
—Alternative DCF Models
| Model | Fair Value | Upside | PV(FCFs) | PV(Terminal) | Total Years |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Standard (10yr→TV) | — | — | — | — | 10 + TV |
| Alt A (Gradual Decline) | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alt B (30yr Hard Stop) | — | — | — | N/A | — |
This is a simplified DCF model for illustration. It uses reported free cash flow, a single growth assumption, fixed WACC, and a Gordon Growth terminal value. It is not investment advice.