Discounted Cash Flow
Honda Motor Co. Ltd. ADR
—
—
Average annual growth rates
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Endpoint CAGR (better for long term trend)
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Projected growth rate
—
—
%
%
Historical inputs (10 fiscal years)
| YEAR | Sales | Net Income | Free Cash Flow | Net Margin | EPS (diluted) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2017 | $14.0t | $3.9b | $2.5b | 0.0% | — |
| 2018 | $15.4t (9.7%) | $6.6b (71.8%) | $5.7b (130.4%) | 0.0% (56.6%) | $590.79 |
| 2019 | $15.9t (3.4%) | $3.8b (-42.4%) | $4.5b (-21.0%) | 0.0% (-44.3%) | $345.99 (-41.4%) |
| 2020 | $14.9t (-6.0%) | $2.9b (-25.3%) | $5.5b (24.2%) | 0.0% (-20.5%) | $260.13 (-24.8%) |
| 2021 | $13.2t (-11.8%) | $4.1b (44.3%) | $4.7b (-14.6%) | 0.0% (63.5%) | $380.75 (46.4%) |
| 2022 | $14.6t (10.5%) | $4.4b (7.6%) | $8.9b (87.2%) | 0.0% (-2.7%) | $137.03 (-64.0%) |
| 2023 | $16.9t (16.2%) | $4.1b (-7.9%) | $10.4b (17.2%) | 0.0% (-20.7%) | $128.01 (-6.6%) |
| 2024 | $20.4t (20.8%) | $6.9b (70.0%) | $2.5b (-75.9%) | 0.0% (40.7%) | $225.88 (76.5%) |
| 2025 | $21.7t (6.2%) | $5.2b (-24.5%) | $-1.4b (-154.9%) | 0.0% (-28.9%) | $178.93 (-20.8%) |
| 2026 | $21.8t (0.5%) | $-2.7b (-150.7%) | $3.3b (339.3%) | -0.0% (-150.5%) | $-106.06 (-159.3%) |
Base FCF: — (latest fiscal year)
Discount rate: % —
Terminal growth: —
Projection period: — years
Alt A decline yrs:
Alt B total yrs:
SEC filings report in JPY. Values above are converted to USD for comparison with the US-listed share price.
Values abbreviated: b = billions, m = millions, k = thousands.
Projected cash flows
| Year | Projected cash flow | Discount Factor | Present Value |
|---|
PV of projected FCF: —
Terminal FCF: —
Terminal value: —
PV of terminal value: —
Enterprise value (DCF): —
Current price: —
—Alternative DCF Models
| Model | Fair Value | Upside | PV(FCFs) | PV(Terminal) | Total Years |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Standard (10yr→TV) | — | — | — | — | 10 + TV |
| Alt A (Gradual Decline) | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alt B (30yr Hard Stop) | — | — | — | N/A | — |
This is a simplified DCF model for illustration. It uses reported free cash flow, a single growth assumption, fixed WACC, and a Gordon Growth terminal value. It is not investment advice.