Discounted Cash Flow

HP Inc.

HPQ · Based on 10 years of SEC filings

Average annual growth rates

Metric 10-Year 5-Year 3-Year
Sales
Free Cash Flow
Average (FCF & NI)
Net Income

Average annual growth is the mean year-over-year change across each period.

Endpoint CAGR (better for long term trend)

Metric 10-Year 5-Year 3-Year
Sales
Free Cash Flow
Average (FCF & NI)
Net Income

Endpoint CAGR is the compound annual rate from the first to last year in each period.

Projections use average year-over-year growth. Change this in Settings.

Projected growth rate

Free cash flow growth
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —
Averaged growth (FCF & NI)
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —
Net income growth
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —
Sales growth (not added to calculations)
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —

Click a greyed-out slider to switch metrics. Slide between the 10-year, 5-year, and 3-year historic growth rates for FCF, net income, or their average.

%
%

Historical inputs (10 fiscal years)

YEAR Sales Net Income Free Cash Flow Net Margin EPS (diluted)
2016 $48.2b $2.5b $2.8b 5.2% $1.44
2017 $52.1b (7.9%) $2.5b (1.2%) $3.3b (17.1%) 4.9% (-6.2%) $1.50 (4.2%)
2018 $58.5b (12.3%) $5.3b (110.9%) $4.0b (21.6%) 9.1% (87.7%) $3.30 (120.0%)
2019 $58.8b (0.5%) $3.2b (-40.8%) $4.0b (0.0%) 5.4% (-41.1%) $2.08 (-37.0%)
2020 $56.6b (-3.6%) $2.8b (-9.8%) $3.7b (-6.2%) 5.0% (-6.4%) $2.01 (-3.4%)
2021 $63.5b (12.1%) $6.5b (128.7%) $5.8b (56.0%) 10.2% (104.0%) $5.38 (167.7%)
2022 $62.9b (-0.9%) $3.1b (-51.8%) $3.7b (-36.5%) 5.0% (-51.4%) $3.02 (-43.9%)
2023 $53.7b (-14.6%) $3.3b (4.2%) $3.0b (-19.5%) 6.1% (22.0%) $3.29 (8.9%)
2024 $53.6b (-0.3%) $2.8b (-15.0%) $3.2b (6.0%) 5.2% (-14.7%) $2.83 (-14.0%)
2025 $55.3b (3.2%) $2.5b (-8.9%) $2.8b (-11.3%) 4.6% (-11.7%) $2.67 (-5.7%)

Base FCF: (latest fiscal year)

Discount rate: %

Terminal growth:

Projection period: years

Alt A decline yrs:

Alt B total yrs:

Values abbreviated: b = billions, m = millions, k = thousands.

Projected cash flows

Year Projected cash flow Discount Factor Present Value

PV of projected FCF:

Terminal FCF:

Terminal value:

PV of terminal value:

Enterprise value (DCF):

DCF price per share:

Current price:

Alternative DCF Models

Model Fair Value Upside PV(FCFs) PV(Terminal) Total Years
Standard (10yr→TV) 10 + TV
Alt A (Gradual Decline)
Alt B (30yr Hard Stop) N/A

This is a simplified DCF model for illustration. It uses reported free cash flow, a single growth assumption, fixed WACC, and a Gordon Growth terminal value. It is not investment advice.

+ 10YR Financials Balance Sheet (10YR) Cash Flow (10YR) DCF Model