Discounted Cash Flow
Hershey Co.
—
—
Average annual growth rates
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Endpoint CAGR (better for long term trend)
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Projected growth rate
—
—
%
%
Historical inputs (10 fiscal years)
| YEAR | Sales | Net Income | Free Cash Flow | Net Margin | EPS (diluted) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 | $7.4b | $720.0m | $714.0m | 9.7% | — |
| 2017 | $7.5b (1.0%) | $783.0m (8.7%) | $991.8m (38.9%) | 10.4% (7.7%) | — |
| 2018 | $7.8b (3.7%) | $1.2b (50.4%) | $1.3b (28.2%) | 15.1% (45.1%) | — |
| 2019 | $8.0b (2.5%) | $1.1b (-2.4%) | $1.4b (13.7%) | 14.4% (-4.8%) | — |
| 2020 | $8.1b (2.0%) | $1.3b (11.2%) | $1.3b (-13.0%) | 15.7% (9.0%) | — |
| 2021 | $9.0b (10.1%) | $1.5b (15.5%) | $1.6b (26.2%) | 16.5% (5.0%) | — |
| 2022 | $10.4b (16.1%) | $1.6b (11.3%) | $1.8b (13.9%) | 15.8% (-4.1%) | — |
| 2023 | $11.2b (7.2%) | $1.9b (13.2%) | $1.6b (-14.2%) | 16.7% (5.6%) | — |
| 2024 | $11.2b (0.3%) | $2.2b (19.3%) | $1.9b (24.1%) | 19.8% (18.9%) | — |
| 2025 | $11.7b (4.4%) | $883.3m (-60.2%) | $1.8b (-5.3%) | 7.6% (-61.9%) | — |
Base FCF: — (latest fiscal year)
Discount rate: % —
Terminal growth: —
Projection period: — years
Alt A decline yrs:
Alt B total yrs:
Values abbreviated: b = billions, m = millions, k = thousands.
Projected cash flows
| Year | Projected cash flow | Discount Factor | Present Value |
|---|
PV of projected FCF: —
Terminal FCF: —
Terminal value: —
PV of terminal value: —
Enterprise value (DCF): —
Current price: —
—Alternative DCF Models
| Model | Fair Value | Upside | PV(FCFs) | PV(Terminal) | Total Years |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Standard (10yr→TV) | — | — | — | — | 10 + TV |
| Alt A (Gradual Decline) | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alt B (30yr Hard Stop) | — | — | — | N/A | — |
This is a simplified DCF model for illustration. It uses reported free cash flow, a single growth assumption, fixed WACC, and a Gordon Growth terminal value. It is not investment advice.