Discounted Cash Flow
H World Group Ltd. ADR
—
—
Average annual growth rates
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Endpoint CAGR (better for long term trend)
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Projected growth rate
—
—
%
%
Historical inputs (10 fiscal years)
| YEAR | Sales | Net Income | Free Cash Flow | Net Margin | EPS (diluted) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 | $941.8m | $17.2m | $17.2m | 1.8% | $0.42 |
| 2017 | $1.3b (33.3%) | $28.1m (64.1%) | $272.3m (1487.8%) | 2.2% (23.1%) | $0.68 (61.9%) |
| 2018 | $1.5b (16.6%) | $15.4m (-45.3%) | $15.4m (-94.3%) | 1.1% (-53.1%) | $0.37 (-45.6%) |
| 2019 | $11.2b (665.8%) | $37.6m (144.2%) | $37.6m (144.2%) | 0.3% (-68.1%) | $0.89 (140.5%) |
| 2020 | $10.2b (-9.1%) | $-49.7m (-232.3%) | $-49.7m (-232.3%) | -0.5% (-245.5%) | $-1.15 (-229.2%) |
| 2021 | $12.8b (25.4%) | $-10.8m (78.3%) | $178.5m (458.9%) | -0.1% (82.7%) | $-0.02 (98.3%) |
| 2022 | $13.9b (8.4%) | $-39.1m (-261.6%) | $135.0m (-24.4%) | -0.3% (-233.5%) | $-0.08 (-300.0%) |
| 2023 | $21.9b (57.9%) | $85.1m (317.8%) | $85.1m (-37.0%) | 0.4% (238.0%) | $0.18 (325.0%) |
| 2024 | $23.9b (9.2%) | $61.9m (-27.3%) | $61.9m (-27.3%) | 0.3% (-33.4%) | $0.13 (-27.8%) |
| 2025 | $25.3b (5.9%) | $107.4m (73.7%) | $107.4m (73.7%) | 0.4% (64.0%) | $0.24 (84.6%) |
Base FCF: — (latest fiscal year)
Discount rate: % —
Terminal growth: —
Projection period: — years
Alt A decline yrs:
Alt B total yrs:
SEC filings report in CNY. Values above are converted to USD for comparison with the US-listed share price.
Projected cash flows
| Year | Projected cash flow | Discount Factor | Present Value |
|---|
PV of projected FCF: —
Terminal FCF: —
Terminal value: —
PV of terminal value: —
Enterprise value (DCF): —
Current price: —
—Alternative DCF Models
| Model | Fair Value | Upside | PV(FCFs) | PV(Terminal) | Total Years |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Standard (10yr→TV) | — | — | — | — | 10 + TV |
| Alt A (Gradual Decline) | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alt B (30yr Hard Stop) | — | — | — | N/A | — |
This is a simplified DCF model for illustration. It uses reported free cash flow, a single growth assumption, fixed WACC, and a Gordon Growth terminal value. It is not investment advice.