Discounted Cash Flow
Heartland Express Inc.
—
—
Average annual growth rates
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Endpoint CAGR (better for long term trend)
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Projected growth rate
—
—
%
%
Historical inputs (10 fiscal years)
| YEAR | Sales | Net Income | Free Cash Flow | Net Margin | EPS (diluted) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 | $612.9m | $56.4m | $69.7m | 9.2% | $0.68 |
| 2017 | $607.3m (-0.9%) | $75.2m (33.3%) | $-74.6m (-207.0%) | 12.4% (34.5%) | $0.90 (32.4%) |
| 2018 | $610.8m (0.6%) | $72.7m (-3.3%) | $-22.7m (69.5%) | 11.9% (-3.9%) | $0.88 (-2.2%) |
| 2019 | $596.8m (-2.3%) | $73.0m (0.4%) | $-17.4m (23.4%) | 12.2% (2.8%) | $0.89 (1.1%) |
| 2020 | $645.3m (8.1%) | $70.8m (-3.0%) | $-25.5m (-46.4%) | 11.0% (-10.2%) | $0.87 (-2.2%) |
| 2021 | $607.3m (-5.9%) | $79.3m (12.0%) | $-9.2m (63.8%) | 13.1% (19.0%) | $1.00 (14.9%) |
| 2022 | $968.0m (59.4%) | $133.6m (68.5%) | $34.1m (470.3%) | 13.8% (5.7%) | $1.69 (69.0%) |
| 2023 | $1.2b (24.7%) | $14.8m (-88.9%) | $-43.3m (-226.9%) | 1.2% (-91.1%) | $0.19 (-88.8%) |
| 2024 | $1.0b (-13.2%) | $-29.7m (-301.2%) | $34.8m (180.3%) | -2.8% (-331.9%) | $-0.38 (-300.0%) |
| 2025 | $805.7m (-23.1%) | $-52.5m (-76.5%) | $-66.9m (-292.0%) | -6.5% (-129.4%) | $-0.67 (-76.3%) |
Base FCF: — (latest fiscal year)
Discount rate: % —
Terminal growth: —
Projection period: — years
Alt A decline yrs:
Alt B total yrs:
Projected cash flows
| Year | Projected cash flow | Discount Factor | Present Value |
|---|
PV of projected FCF: —
Terminal FCF: —
Terminal value: —
PV of terminal value: —
Enterprise value (DCF): —
Current price: —
—Alternative DCF Models
| Model | Fair Value | Upside | PV(FCFs) | PV(Terminal) | Total Years |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Standard (10yr→TV) | — | — | — | — | 10 + TV |
| Alt A (Gradual Decline) | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alt B (30yr Hard Stop) | — | — | — | N/A | — |
This is a simplified DCF model for illustration. It uses reported free cash flow, a single growth assumption, fixed WACC, and a Gordon Growth terminal value. It is not investment advice.