Discounted Cash Flow
High Templar Tech Ltd. ADR
—
—
Average annual growth rates
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Endpoint CAGR (better for long term trend)
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Projected growth rate
—
—
%
%
Historical inputs (10 fiscal years)
| YEAR | Sales | Net Income | Free Cash Flow | Net Margin | EPS (diluted) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 | $1.4b | $85.3m | $116.8m | 5.9% | $7.27 |
| 2017 | $734.0m (-49.1%) | $49.2m (-42.3%) | $453.6m (288.2%) | 6.7% (13.4%) | $68.52 (842.5%) |
| 2018 | $1.1b (52.4%) | $53.6m (8.9%) | $472.4m (4.1%) | 4.8% (-28.5%) | $7.82 (-88.6%) |
| 2019 | $1.3b (13.5%) | $69.4m (29.4%) | $69.4m (-85.3%) | 5.5% (14.0%) | $46.88 (499.5%) |
| 2020 | $565.2m (-55.5%) | $21.7m (-68.7%) | $21.7m (-68.7%) | 3.8% (-29.6%) | $15.12 (-67.7%) |
| 2021 | $259.6m (-54.1%) | $13.7m (-37.1%) | $65.7m (201.9%) | 5.3% (37.0%) | $9.28 (-38.6%) |
| 2022 | $83.7m (-67.7%) | $-7.8m (-156.8%) | $-1.9m (-102.9%) | -9.3% (-276.0%) | $-5.88 (-163.4%) |
| 2023 | $17.8m (-78.7%) | $815.7k (110.5%) | $815.7k (143.2%) | 4.6% (149.4%) | $0.72 (112.2%) |
| 2024 | $29.7m (66.6%) | $1.9m (128.0%) | $1.9m (128.0%) | 6.3% (36.8%) | $2.00 (177.8%) |
| 2025 | $5.9m (-80.2%) | $15.0m (706.3%) | $84.4m (4439.2%) | 256.0% (3981.5%) | $17.48 (774.0%) |
Base FCF: — (latest fiscal year)
Discount rate: % —
Terminal growth: —
Projection period: — years
Alt A decline yrs:
Alt B total yrs:
SEC filings report in CNY. Values above are converted to USD for comparison with the US-listed share price.
Projected cash flows
| Year | Projected cash flow | Discount Factor | Present Value |
|---|
PV of projected FCF: —
Terminal FCF: —
Terminal value: —
PV of terminal value: —
Enterprise value (DCF): —
Current price: —
—Alternative DCF Models
| Model | Fair Value | Upside | PV(FCFs) | PV(Terminal) | Total Years |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Standard (10yr→TV) | — | — | — | — | 10 + TV |
| Alt A (Gradual Decline) | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alt B (30yr Hard Stop) | — | — | — | N/A | — |
This is a simplified DCF model for illustration. It uses reported free cash flow, a single growth assumption, fixed WACC, and a Gordon Growth terminal value. It is not investment advice.